Duke Offers Admission to More Than 2,300 High School Seniors

"More than 2,300 high school seniors from across the country and around the world who go online at 7 p.m. ET Wednesday will learn they have been accepted to Duke University.

More than 34,400 students applied for admission this year – the highest number ever received – with almost 31,000 applying under Duke’s Regular Decision program. Among the Regular Decision applicant pool, 2,255 students – 7.3 percent – will receive a notice of acceptance inviting them to become members of the Class of 2021. Another 58 students who applied Early Decision and whose decisions were deferred to March will also learn they have been admitted." …

https://today.duke.edu/2017/03/duke-offers-admission-more-2300-high-school-seniors

Wow. Admit rate dropped from 9% last year to 7% this year.

Among the Regular Decision applicant pool, 2,255 students – 7.3 percent – will receive a notice of acceptance inviting them to become members of the Class of 2021.

7.3% is RD rate, not overall admit rate. They already fill half of the class with ED.

Also they seem to have under-admitted so they will need to use the waitlist quite a bit. So the actual admit rate will probably be closer to 10%. Good news for waitlisted applicants I imagine.

Why do you think they under-admitted? If they admit way more students than the number of seats they have then thiere can’t be an under-admission. Besides, number of admission offers is also based on how many applicants peer schools are getting. Since peer schools such as Penn and Columbia have received record number of applicants, it will mean fewer cross admits and thus a higher yield.

I dont think you can really say that because peer schools have gotten more applications this year there will be fewer cross-admits so the yield rate will increase. This colleges look for similar things and have similar admissions standards.

Duke admittd 3,432 people last year and 1,731 enrolled (yield = 50.4%)
This year they admitted only 3,116 students. So unless they are shrinking the class size or the the yield jumps up to around 55.6%, they have under-admitted so they will probably use the waitlist at least a bit.

@Penn95 I believe Duke increased portion accepted via ED, so they can admit less in RD this cycle (and still hit overall class size target).

@Penn95 I think you may well be correct, although I wouldn’t use the term “under-admitted” because some schools want to use their wait list as insurance against yield suddenly booming.

First, however, you omitted the 58 ED applicants who were admitted RD. So 2,313 were admitted RD; 861 ED. You can’t look merely at overall yield; you need to factor in the almost 100% ED yield and approximately 35% RD yield. So if 850 of the 861 ED enroll and 35% of the 2,313 RD enroll, that would be 850+810=1,660. Duke usually states that it wants a class of 1,705, but has been over that for the past two years.

It does appear that the wait list will be tapped this year, probably at least 40 students.

On the other hand, if RD yield increases 2%, that would result in another 46 students and would meet the 1,705 target. But I would imagine that such a bump in yield is unlikely.