<p>You’re so on. I bet you I don’t get into ANY other colleges. Name your price. :P</p>
<p>Let’s have a counter-bet, too shall we? I bet you you’ll get into, let’s see, atleast 3 ivies for a conservative estimate. You on?
:D</p>
<p>ArizonaFulton: steamgamer
Boston Uni: talwar
Bucknell: priceless13
Caltech: anunay
CalPoly: anvesh95
Carnegie Mellon: anunay
Colgate:Krishna147
Columbia: anunay, firefliesdance
Cornell: talwar, firefliesdance
DePauw: aditya496
Drexel: horrace95,lolface849,Makboy,rishav17,sramas,Suddu0 01,talwar, venkatasuhas
Duke: amdmom,anunay
Fordham: talwar
GeorgiaTech: collstu,krishh3794,sigtus,steamgamer,
Hartwick: sramas
HKU: heyjude
HKUST: Lolface849
IIT: sigtus
IndianaU: saharshkeyboard,sarveshkalra
IowaState: steamgamer
LSE: priceless13
Macalester- priceless13
Manchester: aditya496
Maryland: Supergirl17
McGill: asig15
MichiganState: sarveshkalra
MIT: antares
NC State: heyjude,indianstudent0
Northeastern: rew2402
Northwestern: Picklebump
Nottingham: aditya496
NYU Shanghai: rew2402, horrace95
OSU: heyjude,sarveshkalra
Penn: indianstudent0,Nosferatubien,rajnikant,sarveshkalr a,spazztastical
Princeton: sam213, thekd95
Purdue: heyjude,rajnikant,sigtus
RIT: Suddu001
RoseHulman: sigtus
SUNYB: spazztastical
Syracuse: Supergirl17
TexasA&M: heyjude
Trinity(USA): venkatasuhas
UArizona: steamgamer
UChicago: jak321
UConnn: spazztastical
UC-SD: idream17, anvesh95, collstu, saharshkeyboard, rajnikant
UC-D: anvesh95, collstu, saharshkeyboard, rajnikant
UC-I: rajnikant
UDel: spazztastical
UDenver: talwar
UFlorida: priceless13,Supergirl17
UIUC: chinnu13795, collstu, heyjude, krishh3794, quiverfox, rishav17, sigtus, sniper, sramas, steamgamer, Supergirl1 7, Suddu001, krishna147, Engineer1994
UMass:sramas,
Umich: krishh3794, sam213, sniper, Engineer1994
UMinn: heyjude
URochester: horrace95
USC: sigtus
UTAustin: chinnu13795,krishna147,sniper
VaTech: heyjude, indianstudent0
WashingtonStateU: sarveshkalra
WiscMad: heyjude,sigtus,sniper
WPI: rew2402, himanshusahay
WUSTL- krishna147
Yale-NUS: Asig15</p>
<p>aditya496: University of Manchester,Nottingham,DePauw
amdmom: Duke
anunay: Caltech,Duke(LL),Columbia(LL), CMU
antares: MIT
asig15: McGill, Yale-NUS
anvesh95: UC-SD, UC-D, CalPoly
chinnu13795s GS: UIUC,UT Austin
collstu: UIUC,Georgia Tech, UC-SD, UC-D
Engineer1994- UIUC, UMichigan
firefliesdance: Cornell(LL), Columbia(LL)
heyjude: Purdue,UIUC,NC State,Univ of Wisconsin:Madison,Univ. of Minnesota(Twin Cities),Virginia Teach,Texas A&M,OSU,HKU
himanshusahay: WPI
horrace95: Drexel,University of Rochester,NYU Shanghai
indianstudent0: Penn State, NC State, Virginia Tech
jak321: Uchicago
krishh3794: UIUC,UMich,Georgia Tech
krishna147: UT Austin, UIUC, WUSTL, Colgate
Lolface849: Drexel, HKUST
Makboy: Drexel,
Nosferatubien: Penn State
priceless13: London School of Economics,UFlorida, Macalester College, Bucknell
Picklebump- Northwestern
quiverfox: UIUC,
rajnikant: Purdue,Penn State, UC-D, UC-SD, UC-I
rew2402: WPI, Northeastern, NYU-Shanghai
rishav17: Drexel,UIUC
saharshkeyboard: Indiana Univ Bloomington(Kelley), UC-SD, UC-D
Sam213: Princeton,UMich
sarveshkalra: Indiana university,Penn state,Ohio state,Michigan state and Washington State U.
Sigtus: UIUC,Purdue,GeorgiaTech,Rose Hulman,Illinois Institute of Technology,Univ. of Wisconsin,USC
sniper21: UIUC,UT Austing,UMich,U Wisconsin
spazztastical: University of Connecticut,U of Delaware,Penn State,SUNY Buffalo
sramas D: UIUC,UMass Amherst,Drexel,Hartwick
Steamgamer: UIUC,University of Arizona,Arizona Fulton,Iowa state,Georgia Tech
Suddu001: Drexel,UIUC,RIT
Supergirl17: UIUC,Sycrause,Maryland,Mizzou,Uni of Florida
talwar: Cornell, Boston University, Fordham,U Denver,Drexel
Tejas1994: GeorgiaTech
thekd95: Princeton
venkatasuhas: Trinity College(Connecticut), Drexel</p>
<p>I love being the observer on all these HUGE bets…always ends up with me getting something out the bet…whoever wins…yay:D</p>
<p>@firefliesdance</p>
<p>So the terms of the bet are —
- You say you won’t get any more acceptances and that I get into 3 Ivies.
- I say you’ll get one more acceptance at least and I won’t get into any Ivy.
- Neutral territory— You get another acceptance and I get into an Ivy/Both don’t get any more acceptances! </p>
<p>^All right??
So what’s gonna be the price?? :p</p>
<p>@quiver - no agents man 
Feel free to join either side :)</p>
<p>@rishav- Yes. Perfect conditions. How on earth do we decide on a price? o.o It’s not like we’re meeting up. Um, suggestions anybody? Something we can do over the net?</p>
<p>the loser will have to record a video saying ‘I love justin bieber’ and post it in the cc group as well as here on cc.</p>
<p>This is the most brutal punishment i can think of.
Oh! You both just had a cold shiver down the spine?
I know its a scary punishment.</p>
<p>@quiver: I’m on your side :P</p>
<p>Oh send him chocolates :D</p>
<p>BTW, my acceptance (with almost full FA too!) has very conveniently disappeared from the list. :|</p>
<p>@Keya - Do add yourself to the list!! 
I don’t know why someone would’ve wiped you off the list, but just put it back on again!! </p>
<p>@firefliesdance - The price… There is codeguy’s suggestion and Keya’s suggestion, but lets wait until later today for any more suggestions?? :)</p>
<p>See…both of you guys are going to get into more than 1 of your ivies…I don’t think Im going to have that privilege…Do as keya says…but instead send me the box of chocolates as consolation… That way everybody is happy(including me:))</p>
<p>I’m NOT doing that vid. OMG. I know I’m winning this but still. The prospect will keep me up nights. o.o
@quiver- You mis-typed congratulations as consolation.
@rishav- Yes let’s wait till later today. :D</p>
<p>@rishav: maybe i’ll let it be for now…hoping for more acceptances to flaunt, by the end of this week :)</p>
<p>@quiver: I just love your ideas. Thank me for that compliment. Care to share the chocolates? :P</p>
<p>Oh and guuuuyyyyyssss!!! I just realised that my probability of getting into an Ivy is .52 (added up 6 ivies’ acceptance rates o.o) which is in my favour :D</p>
<p>sure:) The more the merrier…oh and firefliesdance…that was not a mis-type…that was auto-correct on my computer…filters all such impossible words…makes it more sensible;)</p>
<p>Oh and Keya…I have a better way of doing things …
The probability of getting a rejection from each university is 1/2…
So the prob. of getting rejected at all 6 is (1/2)^6…i.e 1/64…nah…not happening:)</p>
<p>@quiver - But these are biased events… In which case, the probability of rejection wouldn’t be 1/2 for any one college. :D</p>
<p>Any more ideas for the price of our bet???</p>
<p>these are independent…how is one rejection related to another??</p>
<p>LOL. Since we’re discussing the flaws anyways- both you guys are wrong at calculating the chances of acceptance. Technically, the probability you’re going to be accepted at atleast one= 1- (prob of getting rejected at all). Prob of getting rejected at all might SEEM to be = (rej rate 1)<em>(rej rate 2)</em> (rej rate 3)…
But actually the events aren’t independent. Good candidates like you guys have a greater chance of being accepted at an ivy. Someone who’s gotten into Harvard has a better chance of getting into Yale than say, a OK-ish student <em>points to self</em>. The rejection rates aren’t equal either. Someone with international awards has smaller rej rates at every college. Someone with terrible essays has much higher rej rates. </p>
<p>Adding the acceptance rates up doesn’t make sense. Multiplying them together would give you the chance of being accepted at all ivies. Adding them up leads to… nothing really. </p>
<p>Thirdly, even assuming the events are independent, the chance of rejection isn’t even close to half at any of these colleges. While it SEEMS that there are only three possible outcomes- waitlist, accept or reject- these outcomes are only mutually exhaustive and not equally likely. To accurately (or atleast somewhat accurately) predict the chances of getting accepted at atleast one- you’d need rejection rates for each college.</p>
<p>I have no idea what the point of any of this long post was; other than that I’m bored and like the maths involved. People! Come up with more ideas for the bet and I’ll go research rejection rates now. :D</p>
<p>Interesting find: Assume you’re applying to all 8 ivies. Rejection rates are 90.4, 92.6, 83.8, 90.6, 94.1, 87.7, 92.1, and 93.2 for these colleges (look up the respectively’s). Prob of getting rejected at all colleges (roughly)= multiplication of these= 0.4521. Therefore, prob of gettin into atleast one = 0.549. Very VERY close to Keya’s number.</p>
<p>Interesting how you point to yourself;) Yeah…there are a few small flaws…but they seem to vanish considering the grand scheme of events:)</p>
<p>Maybe I’m a little below OK but it’ll make my point work for now. :)</p>
<p>Purdue Rejected. Can’t believe what happened here.</p>
<p>Rejected at MIT, Harvey Mudd and Vanderbilt so far. Waitlisted at trinity.</p>