<p>
[quote]
Sakky, your comments that all jobs are susceptible to outsourcing is ignorant. .
[/quote]
</p>
<p>Are you calling me ignorant? Don't tempt me to ban you. I'll be happy to compare my biography to yours and determine who really is the ignorant one. </p>
<p>
[quote]
For example, you can't outsource doctors jobs (en masse), Union jobs (UPS, truckers, BART drivers who make 102k on average)
[/quote]
</p>
<p>And by the same token, you can't outsource all engineering jobs. Some engineering jobs you can definitely outsource. Others, not so much. Not all engineers work in a research lab typing code. For example, Intel runs something like 10 fabs in the US. How many fabs does Intel have in China and India? Answer - zero. Intel has assembly plants in China, but no actual fabs. These fabs cost over $2 billion to construct and are obviously expected to produce chips for decades. And as long as the fabs are in the US, you obviously need engineers to work in them. How exactly are you going to outsource fab-engineering work to China and India when the fab itself is in the US? </p>
<p>Furthermore, obviously you can't just pick up a $2 billion fab and ship the whole fab to China. But you might say that Intel can just build more fabs in China in the future, and shut down the ones in the US. I have 2 responses to that. #1 - yes, that could happen but that's going to take a very long time to happen, because you don't just shut down an operational fab just "like that". You have to recoup your investment in building that fab. And secondly, Intel has little incentive to shift fab production to China. The only reason to move to China is to take advantage of low labor costs, but the fact is, labor costs represent barely even 1% of the costs of running a fab. Most of the cost of running a fab comes from capital expenditures (basically, chip machinery in the fab), energy, and taxes. Intel is not going to shift fab production just to save on that tiny 1% of labor costs. </p>
<p>The same thing is true of the rest of US manufacturing. Take oil refineries. The US is actually going to be increasing refinery capacity in the next few decades, and obviously that means more jobs for engineers in the refinery. The same thing is true of power plants. The US will be building more power plants, and obviously Americans will have to run them. </p>
<p>And even more importantly, those engineers who do "high-touch" work that interacts with suppliers and customers will have plenty of work. Think about sales engineers - those engineers who go on sales calls and help the sales reps drum up business. That's not easily outsourced. How about supplier interfacing - basically negotiating with suppliers and telling them what raw materials your company needs. That's not easily outsourced. </p>
<p>The point is, I agree that some engineering jobs will be outsourced. Basically, any engineering job that can be performed ialone n an isolated room can be outsourced. But many other engineering jobs will remain. By the same token, plenty of other jobs will be outsourced. Again, take doctors. Any sort of elective surgery can be outsourced. Any sort of medicine where you are processing information (i.e. analyzing Xrays) can be outsourced. A lot of basic psychiatric therapy (where you are just talking to a therapist) can be outsourced. Only those doctors who have to perform critical life-saving procedures that have to happen immediately - these are not easily outsourced. But that's no different from the Intel engineer who has a job because his fab is in Santa Clara. </p>
<p>As far as union jobs, I agree with you. But that's just a passing phenomenom. Unions are a violation of the free market. But I don't know why you are using the example of truckers and UPS people. I know some people who are truckers. They aren't exactly living it up. I also know people who used to work at UPS. The wages there aren't exactly the greatest. </p>
<p>
[quote]
Computer jobs are easy to outsource because everybody can read a book on programming and start becoming an engineer. Engineering jobs that require computer use are very susceptible to outsourcing, and companies here are off-shoring like you won't belive -- google, yahoo, amazon, ibm ,microsoft even small-cap companies (less than $30M ) are outsourcing a huge chunk of their staff.
[/quote]
</p>
<p>Pretty bad examples. Your argument actually got WEAKER by saying what you just said. Sure, these companies are outsourcing. But they are also continuing to hire lots of Americans too. As I asked you before, Microsoft employs about double the number of Americans just in the Redmond campus as it did 10 years ago. Why is that? Instead of constantly expanding the Redmond campus, why doesn't Microsoft simply outsource the ENTIRE Redmond campus to India? Is Bill Gates being stupid? Maybe you should write to him and tell him how stupid he is for continuing to hire more and more Americans. </p>
<p>Same thing with Google. Google is a huge recruiter at MIT this year. But why is that? Instead of hiring all these high-priced MIT engineers, most of whom are Americans, why doesn't Google just fire all its Americans and outsource the entire company to India? Is Google dumb? </p>
<p>
[quote]
There is NO shortage at decent living wages -- but yes, there is a shortage at 65k....you can't keep a family alive with 2 cars and a mortgage at 65k in the bay area
[/quote]
</p>
<p>Well look. I know a lot of families in the Bay Area who don't make 65k, and they're still alive. Are they comfortable? No. But they're still there. There are a lot of people in the Bay Area who don't make a lot of money. </p>
<p>And besides, I would ask, why do you assume that you have to live in the Bay Area? Nobody has the "right" to live in the Bay Area, just like nobody has the "right" to live in downtown Manhattan or in Beverly Hills. If you don't feel that you can't succeed wherever you are, you should move. Lots of people move to cheaper places or to places where they feel they are more likely to succeed. I know people who like the Bay Area, but wanted to make it as movie actors, so they moved to Los Angeles. If you want to be an actor, you have to go to LA. That's part of the game. </p>
<p>Look, the US is a nation of immigrants. The Bay Area in particular is full of people who either themselves came or whose ancestors came from somewhere else to the Bay Area for the opportunity. So if you feel that the Bay Area is not giving you opportunities, you should think about moving.</p>