Finalized list of schools, please chance!

<p>So I've finalized which schools I'm applying to, could you respond estimating my chance of acceptance (in %)?</p>

<p>High school: top prep school, middle of class (my class's avg sat = 1400)
ECs: bi-varsity athlete, captain of both</p>

<p>SAT
Math: 790
Critical Reading: 740
Writing: 720</p>

<p>SAT 2s
Math 2c: 710
Literature: 730</p>

<p>APs
AB Calculus: 5
BC Calculus: 5
Latin: 4
English Language: 4
Spanish Language: 4
English Literature: 3
Spanish Literature: 3
Environmental Science: 3</p>

<p>College: Top 20 LAC</p>

<p>Courses:
Calculus II
Intro Philosophy
Intro Literary Study
Econ 101</p>

<p>GPA: 4.0</p>

<p>Recs: should be very good, lots of time talking to these two professors...</p>

<p>Chances at:</p>

<p>UPenn (CAS)
Cornell (CAS)
Amherst
Tufts
Williams
Brown
Dartmouth
HYS (worth applying to?)</p>

<p>btw, i was deferred then rejected from amherst as a senior, and rejected from williams, tufts, cornell, brown for regular decision</p>

<p>i think you stand a very good chance. i would suggest spending a ton of time conveying yourself through your essays. maybe you didn't before?</p>

<p>my essays weren't unbelievable before, that's for sure, though i didn't think they were awful either</p>

<p>what do you think my chances are at each school?</p>

<p>bumppppp...................................</p>

<p>Cornell is the only one of those schools that I believe has "decent" transfer rates.</p>

<p>lola,
i thought penn had decent rates too</p>

<p>here's what i would have thought my chances are, lemme know if these are accurate:</p>

<p>cornell (CAS): 50%
penn (CAS): 30%
amherst: 10%
tufts: 80%
williams: 5%
brown: 20%
dartmouth: 25%
HYS: 0-5%</p>

<p>thoughts?</p>

<p>LOL I love when people give percentage chances. </p>

<p>There is no way to do that with any sort of accuracy. What lolabelle said is the best answer.</p>

<p>I agree with Lovehex -- percentage chances are ridiculous. There's no good way of calculating them. Haven't you heard that admissions is a game of luck? :)</p>

<p>I don't see how you can calculate, for example, an 80% chance of admission at Tufts when the transfer acceptance rate is 8-10% (over the past few years), and when they've over-enrolled by 200 students in each class over the past three years.</p>

<p>lol, amherst 10%? more like amherst 0-5%
Brown is also less than 20%, i would say more like 10%</p>

<p>ok well aside from amherst and brown, the other percentages are ok estimates?</p>

<p>Dartmouth is also less(15-20%). Other than that, i think it looks pretty good.</p>

<p>Transfer admissions is very hard to predict. Dartmouth will be very tough this year as the last class over-enrolled, but in my (lol I transferred in) its also the best school to transfer into in the country. Penn/ Cornell tend to be the most friendly transfer Ivies. Brown totally depends on the year, this year they might be friendly. Northwestern, Rice, and WashU are very transfer friendly amongst the top 15 schools if they fit what you are looking for.</p>

<p>Transfer acceptance rates are NOT that hard to predict, they are posted in US News and World Report's National Rankings..these numbers are from 2006 but it will give you a good idea of the difficulty level of transferring...</p>

<p>Sure, numbers vary from year to year but not by a significant amount, of course, you have to check what the range of numbers...SAT scores, ACT etc.... are for regular admission at these schools because for the most part, transferring will just as selective and competitive.</p>

<p>UPenn (CAS)
Transfer Acceptance Rate: 12%
Transfer applications received for Fall 2006: 1,861
Transfer applicants offered admission: 153 </p>

<p>Cornell (CAS)
Transfer Acceptance Rate: 27%
Transfer applications received for Fall 2006: 2,479
Transfer applicants offered admission: 669 </p>

<p>Amherst
Transfer Acceptance Rate: 17%
Transfer applications received for Fall 2006: 162
Transfer applicants offered admission: 28</p>

<p>Tufts
Transfer Acceptance Rate: 14%
Transfer applications received for Fall 2006: 737
Transfer applicants offered admission: 104 </p>

<p>Williams
Transfer Acceptance Rate: 8%
Transfer applications received for Fall 2006: 106
Transfer applicants offered admission: 8 </p>

<p>Brown
Transfer Acceptance Rate: 3%
Transfer applications received for Fall 2006: 1,085
Transfer applicants offered admission: 33 Transfer </p>

<p>Dartmouth
Transfer Acceptance Rate: 13%
Transfer applications received for Fall 2006: 342
Transfer applicants offered admission: 43 </p>

<p>Harvard
Transfer Acceptance Rate: 8%
Transfer applications received for Fall 2006: 1,106
Transfer applicants offered admission: 90 </p>

<p>Yale
Transfer Acceptance Rate: 4%
Transfer applications received for Fall 2006: 779
Transfer applicants offered admission: 30 </p>

<p>Stanford
Transfer Acceptance Rate: 5%
Transfer applications received for Fall 2006: 1,407
Transfer applicants offered admission: 72</p>

<p>That's incorrect. Transfer rates are very hard to predict. For example Dartmouth was 13% in 2006, 5% in 2007. Brown was 24% in 2005, 3% in 2006. A few truisms:
Yale is always almost impossible
Princeton is impossible
Harvard selectivity varies from almost impossible to extremely diffivult
Brown/ Dartmouth vary the most from almost impossible to very difficult
Penn is always very difficult ro extremely difficult
Cornell is consistently reasonably difficult, given its size this makes sense</p>

<p>Yes slipper..that's why I stated the 2006 numbers, college applications have skyrocketed over the last few years so almost all acceptance rates and especially transfer rates have fallen drastically, but the 2006 numbers I posted are a good indicator of current difficulty because I can GUARANTEE you those numbers will not be RISING, if they did (highly unlikely), it wouldn't be by more than a point or two over the next few years, if anything they will fall even more as you showed with Dartmouth's 2007 numbers...college application numbers are forecast to keep rising, far outpacing the available spots at top schools... Brown will not be going back up to anywhere near 24% in the coming years IMO...</p>

<p>The point being, the schools I listed with very low acceptance rates are going to stay in those general percentages for awhile so base your application strategy accordingly.</p>

<p>Track, thats not true. Amherst overenrolled this year (by 40-70 students), they are expected to receive more applications (as every school continues to increase in application numbers) and they will also be accepting less transfer students since they have no/less space. I predict this year the percentage will be somewhere along with Williams.</p>

<p>Thks..u just restated what I already said...I said applications are increasing and that the acceptance rates will continue to stay low or go lower..thks for agreeing with me,lol...</p>

<p>You can't trust USNWR's numbers. Take the Tufts admissions rep on CC. In another thread he said last year's transfer #s were: 20 spots from 750 applicants. (See his response here: <a href="http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/tufts-university/437566-transfer-magic.html%5B/url%5D"&gt;http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/tufts-university/437566-transfer-magic.html&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/p>