I’m going to say something hugely unpopular about safety schools, but it’s how I feel, so please don’t excoriate me. I think there is a real difference in outcome opportunities between schools of different categories. If you go to a lower ranked school where certain employers don’t come on campus to interview can you still get that job? Maybe, but you’ll have to work a lot harder to get it. So, if you have a kid who’s worked their head off in HS and has achieved, you think your kid has earned his/her spot at one of the schools that provides greater opportunities. Its really hard when Junior has all the stats to get in but doesn’t because he/she doesn’t match the holistic needs of an institution and gets denied at all the places where he/she statistically matches.
I do think that a lot of former second tier schools have really stepped up their game and now provide terrific opportunities, but now those schools are desperate to hold onto their ranking that they practice yield protection like crazy. So what’s a top stats kid to do, go for it with an app to a tippy top, or play it safe and ED to a former second tier school that’s now great?
For the kid who went for it and gets shut out of the first and second tier, they are now at the third tier, sitting next to their HS classmate who worked a lot less than them. Yes, they have all the knowledge that they brought with them from HS, and yes, they will probably shine academically if they don’t get discouraged that their hard work in HS didn’t get them where they wanted to go. One thing I think a lot of third tier schools are doing is trying to build centers of excellence within certain fields that match employment opportunities in their area. That’s really terrific because those schools can provide a terrific education and fantastic opportunities in those fields. But what if a kid has no idea what he/she wants? Their opportunities are more limited, and some of the outcomes in some areas of instruction might be poor.
And going back to being a new graduate looking for a job. I think if you are going for a job directly tied to your major - accounting, nursing, etc- even if you are a standout, if an employer has been burned before by the majority of hires from your school not being as prepared for the job as a majority of kids from another school, your chances of getting that job are going to be diminished because you come from a school that is weak in that particular field. It’s awfully hard to know about all the strengths and weaknesses of a particular school before you go there and decide what you want to major in.
Finally, look at the costs of going to college for a full pay family. Oftentimes a third tier school will give merit scholarships to get a top student. But these are getting hugely more competitive and you’re seeing a lot more kids who you would think would receive one, not getting one. The cost of attendance at the top tier schools is $275,000 for a 4 year program. How much is a family willing to pay for the various tiers? For me, I wouldn’t be willing to pay $275,000 for third tier, unless that school had something special for my kid that made it a unique value for my kid.
Sorry if this diatribe seems like it’s off-topic. But I see this as directly connected as to why so many families have the same list of schools, and why it’s so hard to find a safety.