@Tperry1982,
It’s a good question. If roughly 400 freshmen come from roughly a hundred or a hundred 4ifty schools, are applications proportionate to acceptances? Are those schools producing 8000 applications (and thus achieving an admit rate of roughly 5%)? We know that all the other schools from which students are admitted each send one student, so that’s roughly another 1200 or so schools. If they’re generating the other 26,000 or so, that means that there are more than 20 applications coming from each school.
I find that unlikely. For one thing, I know that the number of students who apply from my sons’ high school each year varies from one or two to as many as five or six, but the school sends at least one student most years, sometimes two. The number is self-limiting precisely because students from the school are aware that Harvard isn’t likely to dig deep into our pool of graduating seniors, and thus, only students at the top of the class bother to apply. If students know it to start, the senior guidance counselor will inform them thusly. As well, students learn from on-going experience of the classes that go before them. In the school, everyone knows who applied from the class of 2014, and who got int and didn’t. Folks are generally aware roughly where their peers fall in the school’s unofficial rankings (the school provides no formal rankings).
Now, one could posit that possibly many students at many schools don’t realize quite how selective Harvard is, and thus, students further down in the pool might not be as discouraged to apply, meaning that at these schools, you DO get 20 applications.
But it seems to me that this might happen for one or two years at a school with ineffective guidance counselors, but that after a while, students (and their parents) would figure out, even without help from the guidance counselor, that students who are 15th or 20th or lower in their class are unlikely to get in.
Thus, I surmise that schools who send 0 - 1 (or even 2) students to Harvard are more like my sons’ high school, with a handful applying each year. That’d suggest that applications come from around 5000 schools or so each year. Over the course of a few years, it’s probably mostly the same schools generating applications each year (Naviance shows my sons’ high school with at least one applicant per year for the last 14 years), but there are likely some schools that only occasionally generate applications. I’m going to take a wag that the total number of schools that “ever” (say, within the space of a half-decade) generate applications is around 7500 -10,000.
So, if that’s the case, then most schools don’t have any applicants, but schools that do comprise more than a tiny percentage of high schools in the US.