Since an Ivy, and T&F as well which have limited scholarship money, athletic scholarship is probably not a factor.
And I assume that since you have a LL from an Ivy you have applied already, which we were not sure of.
How sure are you to get into the 2nd school? Is it an Ivy or similar tier for acceptance as an Ivy?
There certainly is a risk though it sounds like you do not want to go to this Ivy, so you need to do what is right for you. The coach should understand.
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A likely letter does not mean you are committed to the Ivy. You can still change your mind. But note that it will involve burning bridges. How sure are you that coach #2 will be able to convince admissions to admit you? Is it another Ivy? If so ask him if they would give you a LL. Some non-Ivies also give LL for athletic recruits. If the coach is hesitant, then it might mean he has already given up his slots.
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Since you applied EA as opposed to ED, you are not officially committed to attend. Its only your word. Once you applied, the coach used that slot regardless of whether you enroll or not. The coach doesn’t get it back. I can’t speak for the coach, but personally I would rather lose a slot than have someone on the team who didn’t want to be there, so that ship has already sailed. Admissions works differently at the second school, so if the coach will support you, you will be fine. That level for both track and academics is a small world, so I think you need to be honest with both coaches as soon as feasible. Settle with coach 2 before you talk to coach 1, though.
It could have been worse. A few weeks earlier, had the OP decided at the last-minute to apply ED to the second school, there would have been a ripple effect on just about every applicant in his sport. Happens all the time.
the domino/butterfly effect
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