@TiggerDad One small point, I’m not sure how the legacy pool is getting much bigger. It’s not like “elite” college parents are procreating at an increasing rate, is it? I think if anything it’s probably opposite (although second marriages might keep it flat.)
As far as the other arguments about “hooks.” @dfbdfb
The reality is that for most “elite” schools, the “good enough to get in and survive if not thrive” applicant pool is much, much bigger than seats by the pool. “Hooks” are most often tie-breakers. Sure, some drag students with stats in the bottom 25% (by definition 25% of students have to be there!), but those 25-75 numbers tend to be so fudgable (and fudged) that it doesn’t tell you that much.
Holistic is Holistic: either it is your admissions strategy or it isn’t. Which means, if you are really “holistic” standardized testing does not have be “impressive” for every student. Sports dedication and mastery, or artistic accomplishment can be “impressive records.” Thriving while taking a public bus 2 hrs each way to school can be “impressive.”
There is a circuitious logic loop that says “yeah, admissions are holistic, but the 25+ #s for SAT, ACT, GPA are the ‘real’ stats and the rest is not ‘real.’” Well, then, you ain’t really holistic…
If schools published their 25-75 for, I dunno, reaching All-conference in a sport, or getting a piece of artistic expression taken seriously outside of HS peers, or doing-your-parents-taxes-and-all-other-household-paper-work-for-them-cause-they-don’t-read-English-well-since-you-were-15 or zapping-malicious-software-for-lulz-since-you-were-13-but-taking-SAT-on-2-hrs-sleep-cause-it’s-just-a-stupid-test we might have a different idea of what “impressive” was…
But we like #s, so we’ll keep getting and comparing #s, even with tons of other #s that tell us that, after a point, those other #s don’t tell us anything…