<p>Yes, 86% of Texas admits are in the top ten percent and are automatically admitted. The number has gone up fairly steadily at about 5% per year, and at that rate next year will be 91% and they will all be automatically admitted. The next year would be 96%, and at that point the top ten cap would go into effect.</p>
<p>Plugging this year’s numbers into the new law, 86% of Texas admits would be competing for a guaranteed 75% of the spots. If you assume that each percentile of the top ten percent is equal (8.6% of the top ten percent), the top eight percent would take 68.8 percent of the spots. This doesn’t fulfill the requirements of the cap, so they would then begin admitting 9th percentile students. The 9th percentile would bring them over the cap, to 77.4%, but under the terms of the law, they would need to admit all of the ninth percentile. The tenth percentile, however, would have to compete with the rest of the applicants for places.</p>
<p>If you follow the prevailing logic that the percent of top ten applicants will continue to grow, next year’s cycle will see roughly 91% of admitted Texas students be top ten students. Under the new law, they are all guaranteed entry because the law doesn’t start until the Fall 2011 admissions cycle. Were it in place, and each percentile of the top ten were 9.1% of the applicants, the top 8 percent would be automatically admitted and would make 72.8% of the entering class. This doesn’t fulfill the requirements of the law, so the entire 9th percentile would be admitted, forcing the tenth percentile and the rest of the applicants to compete for 19.1% of the spaces.</p>
<p>If it continues to grow at the same rate, for the first year the law goes into effect would see 96% of the available places taken by top ten percent applicants. However, they now will only have to take them until the 75% cap is filled. If 9.6% of the total available palces are in each percentile of the top ten, the top seven percent will be admited automatically, making 67.2% of the places, so the top eighth percentile will also be admitted, making a total of 76.8% of the available places reserved for the top eight percent. Students in the ninth and tenth percentile will have to compete with the rest of the students for the remaining 23.2% of the places.</p>
<p>OOS and international students aren’t really going to be effected by the law because they’ve always competed for seperate places than Texas residents. The law allows a maximum of 10% of available places at UT to go to OOS students (UT has never had an official OOS restriction before), but they currently only grant 6-7% of places to non-Texans. It will be interesting to see if they increase, decrease, or let this number remain constant.</p>
<p>One interesting fact I read today: the class of 2012 had 208 international students admitted. Of these, 122 (59%) were admitted under the top ten law as they had graduated from Texas high schools. So the top ten law doesn’t only affect Texas applicants, but those from overseas as well.</p>