@DiotimaDM
It’s a truth that only ~40% of all students who apply to med school in a given year get an acceptance. There are simply too many well qualified applicants and too few seats. Not applicants who don’t receive any acceptances have low stats. There are as many reasons why an applicants doesn’t receive an acceptance as there are applicants. (Poor interviewing skills, poorly chosen list of schools to apply to, weak or inadequate ECs, poor match to the school’s mission, perfunctory LORs, poor writing skills, poor oral communication skills, poor interpersonal skills, mismatch between GPA and MCAT score, misdemeanor or felony record, IAs, any arrest for any reason, dishonest behavior of any sort, Hx of drug or alcohol usage, mental health issues, physical health issues, academic issues, plagiarism, poor decision-making, immaturity, inability to clearly articulate reasons for choosing medicine….the list goes on. Med schools get so many applications, adcomms look for reasons to reject an applicant.)
And if you look at the number of freshmen pre-meds who will eventually gain an acceptance, the numbers are even more discouraging.
At many schools up to 40% of entering freshmen state they have an intention of eventually applying to med school. (Was certainly true for D2’s university.) Over the next 2-4 years, approx 75% of those freshmen pre-meds give up on this goal. This is due to many reasons: academics, unwillingness to jump thru all the various hoops and ECs expected of pre-med, exposure to the field shows them they’re not suited for a medical career, discovery of other careers more compatible with their interests/skills, the cost and length of training, physician lifestyle a bad match for personal goals, etc.
Among those who persist until junior/senior year, about 95,000-100,000 unique individuals take the MCAT annually. About 60,000 unique individuals apply to allopathic medical schools. There are about 21,000 seats available. There are another 6000 seats available at osteopathic medical schools and AACOMAS reports there are about 18,000 unique applicants for those.
You also need to realize that acceptance rates at any undergrad institution, beside being highly manipulated by the school itself, are also skewed by the state where the college is located. Some states are strongly protective of their in-state applicants (IOW, the school doesn’t consider OOS applicants. Some states like South Carolina --where dheldreth’s D is from–New Mexico, Texas, Louisiana accept virtually no OOS students to the public med schools.) OTOH, California’s public med schools state they give no preference to in-state applicants.
California is mass exporter of med school applicants. Just the pre-meds applying from UCLA and Berkeley alone could fill every single med school seat (public AND private) in California and still have applicants left over.