@MiamiDAP ^^^
Many, if not most, Calif med school applicants who get accepted, end up in OOS schools simply because Calif has (I think) 4 Calif resident applicants for every seat it has instate. I hope I remember that correctly. Plus, Calif has more applicants than any other state.
Since it’s harder for an applicant to get into an OOS public, it’s more likely that those Calif students are ending up at privates.
Some throw cost to the wind and are just happy to go anywhere. Some really want the lower cost for a UC SOM, which is why (I think) the competition there is more intense.
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I just looked at the PDF for applicants to med school and whether they matriculated IS, OOS or nowhere, and that nowhere number is running 50% to 60%. Ouch!
So what happens to the nowheres?
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“Nowheres” reapply. Nowheres move onto Plan B. Nowheres apply to DO schools, which is totally ok. Nowheres apply to Caribbean schools which is risky.
There are some people who seem to apply to MD med schools (which those stats are showing), when they clearly don’t have much of a chance. Spend some time on SDN and you’ll see people with modest MCATs applying.
One thing that often confuses applicants is when they look at raw numbers and think they “fit,” when they really don’t. An unhooked student with a MCAT 28 and a 3.4 GPA isn’t likely getting into a MD school. A hooked student has a much better chance. The devil is in the details.
When my son was an undergrad, I knew a mom whose DD was also premed. Her GPA was a low 3. Her MCAT was very modest. The DD had gone to a weak CC first before transferring to a univ. The mom and DD seemed absolutely oblivious that her chances were extremely slim. Not only were they “certain” that she’d get in, but they were certain she’d get into a top OOS SOM! I lost touch, so I don’t know what happened after her first failed cycle.
Right now, I am trying to convince another parent and her DD that just because her DD can “graduate in 2 years” due to AP and DE (from her local CC), that that would be a bad plan. She’s a freshman (but junior by credits)! They want her to start med school in 2017! It hadn’t even dawned on them that if they were to do this, she’d have to take the MCAT within the next 5-8 months!
I am often shocked when I see the “SOM app lists” of applicants. Often loaded with a bunch of OOS publics where the student has no ties. The applicants get stars in their eyes…looking at rankings…or looking at the lowish OOS Tx costs…without realizing percentage-wise, how few those publics are accepting OOS (non MD/XXX).
So, it’s missteps, poor assumptions, and inadequate stats that often lead to failed app cycles. (However, in Calif, it’s often just bad luck! )
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And if more than half of US applicants don't get admitted to any SOM at all, how are there so many schools saying that 70%, 80%, 90% or more of their applicants get into med school? I mean, I know they can manipulate the numbers by not giving letters / not letting unlikely candidates apply, but the data in the PDF say that more than half of all US SOM applicants don't get in anywhere.
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there probably aren’t “so many” schools boasting that. You’re probably seeing those claims from the top 150 univs in the country. In the big scheme of things, there are many, many, many colleges that aren’t those top 150…and their rates may be quite low.
The top 150 or so schools in the country are loaded with premeds who likely had SAT/ACTs in the top 90th percentile. Should we be surprised that the premeds who “stuck with it,” and got the grades, then scored well on the MCAT and got into at least ONE med school?
While med schools may not care where you go to undergrad, you do have to have the stats and resume. If you went to a directional univ because you weren’t that strong of a student, then doing premed there isn’t going to magically make you med school material. However, a strong student with worthy stats can get in to med school from a directional.
Also…those big % claims often do not include the many non-trad applicants. I don’t know the success rate of those.
I hate to see high school students look at an undergrads’ claims. They see numbers like: 85% acceptance rate and they think that means that THEY have an 85% chance of getting into med school.