<p>Once you've gone through the rigmarole of narrowing your interests down, you can get to the business of answering the question you posed here.</p>
<p>Ask your professors.</p>
<p>I know it's a lame answer and what you're probably looking for is some sort of statistical data, like the average GPA and GRE scores of admitted students, how many apply and how many are admitted and how many are funded (if you want a basic idea of that, try Peterson's grad search; it isn't perfect, and probably isn't very accurate, but it's one of the few sites I've seen that offers hard numbers). The truth of the matter is, however, that none of it is relevant.</p>
<p>Your professors will be in the best position to help you answer these questions. Firstly, they're -doing- what you want to be doing. Who better to ask? Secondly, they're tapped into the field; they're aware of who's "hot" and who's not (can't believe I just said that, but it's true), what schools might GENERALLY have faculty your interests might sync with, where your unique experience would get you in. </p>
<p>The graduate admissions process is not a "crap shoot" in the sense they mean for undergraduate admissions at, say, Harvard. "Crap shoot" in graduate admissions responds to the idea that there is something VERY specific that the department is looking for, and it changes every year, and there is nothing you can know about it and no way to prepare for it*.</p>
<p>Do you need a good GPA? Good recommendation letters? A good writing sample, if you do literature? A sparkling Statement of Purpose? Of course. But what will be "good enough" and what will be "right" will depend entirely on who you are, what you want to study, and where you're applying.</p>
<p>Even a 60%+ admission rate won't trump that.</p>
<p>(* This isn't strictly true, of course. There are always ways to find out. I just mean they don't publicize it very well outside of their departmental website.)</p>