Need help understanding chances for S23

Of course, Wesleyan and Tufts partisans are bound to butt heads on which school is poaching on whose niche market. First of all, it’s hard to argue they are in entirely different categories when they are two of the most visible members of the same athletic conference, NESCAC (the New England Small College Athletic Conference). And, it’s at least arguable that there are other more credible candidates for “back up choice for Harvard aspirants” within that same conference, sometimes referred to as “the little Ivy League”.

As my friend, @Bill_Marsh explained in another thread,

So, in many ways, Tufts tries to present itself as a hybrid between two different brands, the little ivy and the “medium-size research university” and, without the reflected glory of colleges like Amherst, Williams, Middlebury and - yes, Wesleyan - it’s difficult to know where Tufts’ brand would begin and Boston University’s, Boston College’s, Northeastern’s or Holy Cross’s would end.

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