NYU, what are my chances?

Hey guys, I’m a Junior and I’m planning to apply for NYU Abu Dhabi early decision.

The following should be my end of school year grades for the IB Diploma.

English A1 HL : 7
Business HL : 7
Geography HL: 6
Mathematics SL studies: 6
Self Taught Language: 6
Physics SL: 3

ECA’s:

-MUN representative
-CFO of school government
-Captain of school sports team

Sports:

-Pro swimming (won 5 medals for the school in a regional competition last year).

I know that my physics is quite low in contrast with the rest of the grades but I screwed my final exam. I’m sure I can get at least a 5 before the November application next year.
Do you think they will let me send an update of my grades in November?

Thank you.

And what are my chances overall?

Yes , they will probably let you send an update. I don’t know about Abu Dhabi specifically but for NYU itself id say a low reach, possibly high match if recs and essays are outstanding. Good luck!
Chance me please:
http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/1782833-chance-a-rising-senior-for-uchicago-georgetown-ivies-etc-will-chance-back.html#latest