<p>What do you think the ED acceptance rate will be for the class of 2016 for Trinity and Pratt?
There was a 23% increase in the number of applicants this year which concerns me....Do you think it will be significantly harder to get into Duke this year or are the applicants of lower quality?</p>
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<p>For the first question, I think the acceptance rate will be around 18.5-19% because the total number of spots in the class of 2016 will be about the same as in the years past and unless Duke changes its policy and starts taking a larger portion of its incoming class from ED so will the number of ED spots. </p>
<p>As for the second question, that’s very subjective and in the end will not impact acceptance.</p>
<p>definitely not a good year to have applied to Duke ED… sigh.</p>
<p>Just doing a little more research… are you sure the acceptance rate will be under 20%? I mean -10% is quite a steep drop from 29% in 2011. And that was only a 1% dip from 2010, resulting from an 11% increase in ED applicants. I’m sure they weren’t expecting to admit as many as they ended up doing (38% of the total class) and it could be a similar case this year. I would expect something more like 25%, personally.</p>
<p>I could very well be wrong since I’m still thinking in terms of numbers for when I was admitted a few years ago. But even after glancing at the most recent numbers I think it’ll end up being sub-25%, 23-24% probably. My bad.</p>
<p>23-24%. Guttentag said he’s gonna take aroud 40% of the class (which are around 1700) from ED, and 2700+ applied, so thats the math</p>
<p>1700 freshmen*40% ED=680 early acceptances. 680/2700 total ED apps= 25.2%</p>
<p>So given that 40% of the freshmen class is selected from ED, we will be looking at ~25% accepted early.</p>
<p>40%? Man I was really hoping that Duke wouldn’t go down that yield-protectionist path. Oh well, if you can’t beat them I guess.</p>
<p>^I feel you, but at the same time I believe ED is a great program, and not just because I’m doing it. Across the board, schools are getting more and more applications because of the easiness (esp. since duke’s supplement is mostly optional) and many students will take an approach where they apply to a dozen top-20 schools and see if they get accepted anywhere. ED gives students who truly want Duke as their number 1 choice and thus are distinguished from many for whom Duke is just one of their “lottery tickets”.</p>
<p>I heard Guttentag say no more than 40%, not that the *target *was 40%. Duke doesn’t want to go the route of Penn, accepting 50% of its class from the ED pool. If the ED pool is extremely well qualified, 40% would be the absolute top, but if they think they can admit a better class by delving a bit further into the regular pool, perhaps only a third of the class will be admitted from the ED pool. My guess is that the ED pool is one of the strongest on record and 35-40% of the class will come from early, leading to a 22-25% acceptance rate.</p>
<p>But Duke also wants to increase its yield rate. The best way to do so is to accept a larger proportion of ED students.</p>
<p>If we are guessing…here is mine:</p>
<p>An acceptance rate of 39% in ED, a total of 640.<br>
340 will be legacy or athletic.<br>
640 accepted, 1060 deferred, 1000 applicants will be rejected,
A certain number have withdrawn their applications when they learned of 2700+ apps.</p>
<p>^^^God, I hope this is somewhat accurate.</p>
<p>640 acceptances out of a total of 2700 applications makes ~24% acceptance rate…not sure where that 39% is coming from as it hadn’t been that high since way before I applied back in 2005. Unless you are talking about the % of incoming class that is ED.</p>
<p>I think he is lumping the athletes and legacies in a separate grouping than the other applicants, in which case the total accepted would be 1,080 or ~39%. This number does seem WAY too high though.</p>
<p>There’s no way Duke would suddenly go from having 36% of the incoming class being ED to 63% that’s just crazy.</p>
<p>63% would be nice…But yeah I agree, that is highly unrealistic</p>
<p>Is it snobbish if I’d actually want the acceptance rate to be lower? I say that with no pretension in mind…</p>
<p>No, 39% of ~1700 (entire class of 2016) is roughly equal to 640 people, give or take a few. That is the 39% PragmaticDad is referring to.</p>
<p>^Yes, that’s what I said in the latter part of my post…</p>
<p>However, that’s not an “acceptance rate” but rather a class composition.</p>