I’ve seen several writeups looking at Florida’s excess deaths. So far, nobody has shown a suspicious number of unaccounted-for deaths in Florida. They’re undercounting by not including probable deaths and non-resident deaths, but neither of these are large percentages.
On the other hand, Florida is putting out deeply misleading testing results. What I want from testing results is
(1) How many people did you test for current infection?
(2) How many of those people were positive?
I want to know, basically, how everyone who was tested was eventually classified. How many ended up having the disease, and how many didn’t?
That’s not what Florida is reporting. If a test is repeated–let’s say because there’s some reason to believe it’s wrong–it’s counted twice. So if I show up at an emergency room with no sense of smell, a bad cough and a fever, I get a test. Suppose I test negative, and my doctor says, I don’t believe this test, test again, and this time I test positive, in the Florida statistics that counts as two tests, one negative and one positive.
It turns out this makes a huge difference. In Palm Beach County, 13% of everyone tested has ended up testing positive. But using Florida’s method of counting, Palm Beach County has an 8% positivity result.
Rebekah Jones, the woman who was in charge of the Florida website and who was fired because she thought they were putting out misleading data, has made her own website, where she supplies lots and lots of data, down to the city level.
https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/7572b118dc3c48d885d1c643c195314e/