<p>1.) Medical school is even more extreme than applying to college. Unlike college, where your freshman year would be 2/7ths, it is more like applying ED, where your freshman year is 1/3rd, since the application process rolls and most of the action happens in the fall. Senior year grades could conceivably matter a little bit if they're dramatically out of the norm either way.</p>
<p>2.) And yes, this would change if you took a year off. Bad freshman years are in fact a very common reason for taking a year off.</p>
<p>3.) I just realized this. You're a freshman. There's no reason you can't change your major.</p>
<p>4.)
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Whatever happens, don't give up
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Well, I don't know that I'd say whatever happens. I certainly think there are circumstances in which giving up is merited. The OP probably hasn't quite gotten there yet, but in my judgment he's probably pretty close. Everybody cares about your GPA -- there's only so much of a pounding you want to take before you get the idea. Employers, law schools, business schools, PhD programs -- your GPA matters, so if he can't start doing pretty well pretty fast, it's time to cut his losses and pick easier classes.</p>
<p>5.)
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If you can get in the 3.8+ gpa range for the next three years
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Because of the upward trend recently, I'm curious to see how one more semester will turn out. But eventually, we'll have to start making projections based off of past performance rather than what we hope the OP can accomplish.</p>
<p>Sure, if he can manage straight 14's, or if he can cure an infectious disease, or if he becomes the governor of Massachusetts, medical schools will be drooling over him no matter what his GPA is. (Actually, the 42 would probably not be sufficient to cause "drooling", but you get the idea.) But at some point we have to start basing our "ifs" off of what we've actually seen. So while I'm curious to see one more semester -- can he spike from 2.4 to 3.1 to 3.8? -- I do think that at some point we need to stop talking about if's and start using past performance to make realistic projections about future performance.</p>
<p>Is his freshman year too small a sample size? Yes, of course. But a third semester will help that a lot, and certainly if no turnaround is apparent by the fourth, then that game needs to end.</p>