<p>One only has to see the **real **economic indicators over the past decade to determine if we’re in a zero sum game or not. Things like disposable income, upward mobility, and many others. From where we, the Hoi Polloi, stand, it’s been zero sum since the late 90s.</p>
<p>Cedardweller, I will respectfully disagree with pretty much everything you wrote. I work in a multinational firm where the average age is ANCIENT - easily 40+ yet we do truly cutting edge stuff in consumer electronics. 40 is kinda young actually. I’m 51 and have easily another decade and a half to go. The reason is simple. Health Care and decimation of individual savings accounts during the late 00’s and many of us having kids later in life… In 2020 I will be 60, and ready to face law school tuition. Retirement is unlikely for us before 65+</p>
<p>Perhaps you do not work in industries that are undergoing wholesale outsourcing. I do. Mrs. Turbo does. Her company was dumb enough to outsource key research to Elbonia 10 years ago, and as a result they haven’t seen zip from their Elbonian R&D, and good luck succeeding when their patents run out in the very near future… Outsourcing is more of a fight against perception - if management perceives Elbonian engineers as ‘cheaper’, then, by golly, they’re cheaper, never mind that they do not come close to matching our output or quality. </p>
<p>If we only consider MIT as a representative of all US Engineering colleges, then, sure, life is good. For the tens of thousands of kids that did NOT go to MIT, what then?</p>
<p>Incidentally, part of the reason for the essentially zero unemployment of engineers in Germany and Japan is not the great job market, but (in Germany’s case at least) the impossible entrance exams that limit graduate numbers, and the equally impossible to lay off policies (based on things like ‘social criteria’. Even with EU allowing free movement of labor, I’d wager we in the US have probably three times the non-US-born workers (myself included) than our German buddies have. </p>
<p>The fact is, that most engineering jobs can be outsourced and are being outsourced for reasons that do not necessarily make short or long term sense. </p>
<p>It is true that senior jobs are those being replaced now (for cost and benefit reasons) and when all of us geezers are outsourced away in a few years, good luck to the Elbonians that will have to carry on the torch. The supply is also NOT limited, thanks to the various permatemp visas and other machinations… As a 27 year experience engineer veteran, I only consider myself ‘safe’ from layoffs because all 27 years are in the same company, same group, 13 years with the same manager. </p>
<p>Thankfully, my kids have plan B (European Union passports) assuming Europe has not yet self destructed when they hit the workforce.</p>