Transfer to UMich as a freshman

I’m currently a freshman at an OOS public university who is planning to transfer to UMich for my sophomore year. UMich has two transfer deadline dates (Oct.1 and Feb.1) so I’m wondering which deadlines would maximize my chances of getting in? If I apply for the Feb.1 deadline they will only see my Fall Quarter grades but if I apply for the Oct.1 deadline they will see all the grades from my freshman year.

I have a decent HS gpa (3.84UW/ 4.06W) and SAT scores (EBRW - 1460, Math II - 770, Physics - 720). I will have around 40-50 credits (including AP credits) by the time I finish my freshman year.