<p>i was readin some of the discussions in the forum and some of em had people who got into a skool when everybody was saying they did not have a shot...and some of em got rejected from skools when everyone was sayin they were a shoo in.</p>
<p>Take a look at the % at each UC who were in the top 10% of their high school class. 90 plus for the schools we're talking about. That includes the athletes and the people who got extra consideration for several reasons. If the published the number of white and Asian kids who were not in the top 10% we would see that they are very few. You do have good experience and may well be an exception, so relax, but just make sure you're comfortable with your safety options. All the best.</p>
<p>thnx kirmum...ill try to relax... this has been a really tense day for me...wat do u think about the stuff i wrote on pg. 2 at the bottom...do u agree or am i totally wrong?</p>
<p>Flopsy is right: you have <em>significantly</em> below average chances if you have average stats for a school. Without URM status, I think you're far from making it into either UCLA or UCSD. I think UCD is slim, UCI is probable but not guaranteed.</p>
<p>I think that much more than most schools, chances of getting into a UC are easier to predict. It's fairly quantative. We know that the average SAT is mid 1200s and up for these schools. While I can't cite them, we know SATII scores are even more important. We know that average gpa is 3.9 and up. We know that 90 plus percent were in the top 10% of their high school classes. So IMO, anyone who does not clearly meet or exceed any one of those measures should not be confident about their chances. In my experience, the surprises with the UCs are generally with those who did not get in but had the stats. HOWEVER, we also know there are exceptions. There are kids with great essays that sway an adcom. Kids with lower stats but ECs that drive them in. But they are a small minority. You just never know. For my own kid, who did not exceed any of the measures, I wanted to be sure he had a comfortable alternative plan. He turned out to need it. 2 years later he's right where he wanted to be, the route was just a little different from his original ideal.</p>
<p>thnx guys i really appreciate ur help to all of u...tusi sab pan chods haige te tusi mere lundh nu choos de te tusi sab tatti kah keh saun jaho....thats indian for i hope all of u guyz do well in the future and thnx for ur opinions.</p>
<p>FYI thedad, my son was a URM with average statistics who did not get in. I honestly believe the UCs give the nod to kids from low income families and underperforming schools, but not to middle class and above URMs. Cenrainly the URMs from my kid's private school do not seem to get the boost they get elsewhere.</p>
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i dont think it is fair for us to judge the chances of whose getting in and who isnt...because we might give someone false hope or we can make someone worry even more at a very stressful time...if we can't completely asses someones chances than how can we say whether someone is getting rejected or accepted to a college?
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<p>I think there's a common understanding that our 'assessments' are not 100% accurate. We all understand that there are times when you receive your letter in March and you're just like 'what da @$&*#(@#?!?!' this is true especially for [increasingly] competitive schools, like the UCs. But hey...that's why we apply to safety schools...so we don't get screwed over when something unthinkable happens. and this is why often times we simply say 'i think you have a good chance' and give a few advices. </p>
<p>Besides, you asked for your chances. we're simply trying to help. you dont have to take our words for granted. Afterall, we're not really the ones who decide...</p>
<p>Kirmum, I think you're right in that the UC's look at economic circumstances more closely than other schools and are otherwise more stats oriented. </p>
<p>However, for every general set of criteria or paradigm you can suggest, I can come up with UC admissions decisions that break it, though more so at UCB/UCLA/UCSD.</p>
<p>Still, I'd bet against the OP's chances.</p>
<p>Just wondering, which school do you plan on attending next fall, Inderroop?</p>