Below, in next post, is Dee-Dee’s latest fog, er blog, on the very touchy issue of HBS and age, a topic we have been following like hawks for past coupla years but ESPECIALLY since fall when we first became aware of the new super-secret HBS AGE JIHAD, which was started by HBS Admin w.the idea of getting younger kids [e.g. 26 or less in many cases, esp. in areas of MC and IB/PE, exceptions for military, PH.D’s and rare oddballs] w. the idea that 1. younger kids are cuter, dumber, more easily trained, have longer earning curves, are nicer to look at, more easily cowed, etc. etc [REAL REASON], 2. recruiters want younger kids [dunno about that, but sure, could be for same reasons as 1. 3. to allow females to have career start, MBA and family planning before say 30 [older females now blocked by this Age Jihad thank you for CHOICE OPTION,but HBS continues to mention benefit to females, AMAZINGLY along w. all the other fog]. Her figures actually CONFIRM the age Jihad, by noting just how many kids are ~25and under, 40 percent OF THE CLASS, and as usual she leaves out the KEY stats, which is WHAT IS THE ACCEPT RATE FOR KIDS IN THE NEW DEAD ZONE, 27/28+. Yes, 541 kids in the class have been out of college more than 4 years, but ~100 of them are military, PHDs, MDs and oddballs. So like 441 real kids are left in age bracket 25+ and my guess is, the BULK of those kids are 25 and 26, and maybe 27–w. as noted the new DEAD ZONE being 28. With 27 being the gray zone, and 26 being the safe area, where you do not get age punished or benefited. If you are 1-3 years out, you def get a premium. What am I smoking??? How do I know this. We compiled more robust stats on my blog about age and HBS admits, see [2008 March](<a href=“http://hbsguru.com/blog/2008/03/”>http://hbsguru.com/blog/2008/03/</a>) where did a sample of about 60 random admits, and they fell out as follows, for kids in class years 08, 07, 06, 05 we predicted 36 percent, and now DEE has said actual number is 40percent, so Age Jihad is worse on the super low end (and folks w. error of 4 percent, we are pretty darn happy w. out stats], but more importantly, for the next two class years, e.g. 04, 03, [age 25-27] we show class of 2003 being 19%, and class of
2004 being 31%–e.g. 50 percent of the class, there is ONLY 10 percent left after behind class of 2003, and if you keeping score at home, and applying next year, THAT MEANS IF YOU ARE CLASS OF 2003 [FOR NEXT YEAR] OR EARLIER, THAT COHORT WILL BE TEN PERCENT OF THE CLASS, e.g. 90-100 kids (higher number is accepted, not enrolled) AND MY GUESS IS, ABOUT 30 PERCENT OF APPLICANT POOL, if not more. To put that in perspective, say there will be 10k apps, 3300 of those will be geezers, of whom 100 will get in, for a geezer accept rate of 3 percent, vs. general rate of 10-12 percent (next year w. 10k apps). Even if I am wrong in speculation that geezers are 30 percent of app. pool (and that is a guess) we have firm stats w. great support in our own sample and Majesty’s partial stats, that geezer cohort is 90-100. FOLKS THAT IS THE AGE JIHAD. Now how else do I know about age Jihad. BECAUSE HER MAJ AND OTHER ADCOMS HAVE AS MUCH SAID SO. Many victims of age jihad are well-connected bankers etc. and their patrons often have contacts in adcom who they can query when ****ed, and many of the adcoms when pressed how come 28 year old ace banker or consultant or pe guy did not get in, HAVE ANSWERED, QUITE BLATANTLY, AGE JIHAD. Sure that is an easy way to get hothead bigshot distracted, but I believe it is true, some of the convos were actually honest, as I hear them 2nd hand, and you keep hearing it. Also, as Age Jihad issue has become more widely spread, kids are pressing adcoms in face-to-face forums etc. about this issue, and like only about 10 percent of Adcoms can lie w. a totally straight face (it takes lotsa practice). The rest of the adcoms get this grin on their face, and thru clenched teeth, sorta fudge. Also, in official feedback to WLers, those elite WLers who get feedback, adcoms are dithering over reapp issue and age, and wishing the call was over (happened MANY TIMES). So there you have it, Below is Her Maj fog, er blog, and it actually CONFIRMS THE AGE JIHAD, notwithstanding its not very serious attempt to rebut it.