What are my chances at UCs, CSUs, and other similar universities ? Human Bio/Nursing major

Some UC GPA data (based on the capped weighted GPA) and not major specific:

2020 UC capped weighted GPA averages along with 25th-75th percentile range:

UCB: 4.22 (4.13-4.30)

UCLA: 4.25 (4.18-4.31)

UCSD: 4.16 (4.04-4.28)

UCSB: 4.15 (4.03-4.27)

UCI: 4.11 (3.96-4.26)

UCD: 4.11 (3.97-4.25)

UCSC: 3.94 (3.71-4.16)

UCR: 3.88 (3.65-4.11)

UCM: 3.68 (3.40-3.96)

Some BSN nursing stats for SDSU direct admit and UCI direct admit (note test scores are listed for the 2020 data) since no 2021 data is posted yet:

SDSU: https://nursing.sdsu.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/FTFAdmissionProfile_2016-2020.pdf

UCI:
Number applied: 4883
Number admitted: 78
Acceptance rate: 1.6%
Average UC Capped GPA: 4.03

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