What are my chances at UNC at Chapel Hill and NC State?

So the college application process has at last begun, and I thought I would ask for a realistic opinion on the chances I have of getting into either of these schools. All input is greatly appreciated, and I wish everyone best of luck on their applications as well!

Instate applicant
Gender: Male
Ethnicity: Hispanic
School type: Rigorous public school in Charlotte, NC

SAT: 1950
ACT: 30

Unweighted GPA: 3.75
Weight GPA: 4.6

Class rank: 40/500 (top 8%)

AP: US History(3), Psychology(4), Environmental Sci(3), Calculus AB, Calculus BC, Biology, Spanish Lang&Culture
IB: none offered at my school

Senior schedule:
AP Calc AB
AP Calc BC
Honors Anatomy and Physiology
Honors English IV
AP Biology
Wind Ensemble(advanced band)
AP Spanish Lang

Extra-curricular:
-Spanish Club(President)
-Science Honors Society(Secretary)
-Multicultural Club(VP)
-Cross Country(placed in numerous races and ran varsity for some races)
-Spring Track(only 1 season, mainly an XC runner)
-Part time job senior year at a country club
-National Honors Society
-Science Olympiad(won 2nd in two events at regionals)
-Junior class council
-Spanish Honors Society
-4 years of band

*planning on writing good essays…but of course haven’t started lmao.
*might apply for the Hispanic Scholar Award
*planning on a good teacher recommendation and an iffy counselor one

Thanks for the read! Let me know what you think. Also applying early decision.

I go to school right around NC State, and a lot of people from my school end up going to either NC State or Chapel Hill. To me, it looks like you’ll get into NC State (I’d be really surprised if you didn’t). Chapel Hill is a bit harder to get into, which I’m sure you know, but it looks like you’re in a pretty good place. You’re within their SAT range, you have a GPA that’s consistent with the type of student they admit… looks good to me!

Would you mind chancing me? You might not be as familiar with the schools that I’m applying to, but I’d appreciate it if you checked it out: http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/1801238-chances-for-bennington-mount-holyoke-emerson-and-hampshire.html#latest