What are my chances for Duke?

<p>I am a sophomore in high school at one of the top 100 schools in Texas. I am number 14 out of 400 (top 3.5%) in my class with a 4.0unweighted and 3.87weighted GPA. I am an active member of ITS (international thespian society/ plan on becoming an officer my junior and/or senior year), have been a lead in 5 plays and 1 musical, I am also part of my high school's varsity theatre program as a sophomore, I am becoming a member of NHS, have at least 100 hours of community service (plan to do a lot more), and take part in my school's science academic competition team. My classes for junior year: AP chem, AP physics 1, PreAP precalculus, PreAP computer science 1, AP US History, AP english III, and two theatre classes. My classes this year were AP biology (90), PreAP chem (93- teacher recruited me for AP chem), AP world history (90), PreAP algebra II (93), PreAP english (90), Spanish III (98- not taking 4), Principals of business (98), theatre production I/varsity theatre (100). And just had a senior friend who got into Stanford and Northwestern. And I went through Duke TIP talent search program and got a 1300 in 7th grade but other than that no. I plan on at least trying to get a 2100-2200 on that and a 30-33 on my ACT. I have shown, I feel, a strong interest in science and math. Also does being in the Duke TIP talent search program mean anything for the actual school because they continuously send me stuff. Same with Emory and UPitt who send me emails of interest. What are my chances at any of those schools?</p>