What are my chances of getting merit aid at Kenyon?

I’ve visited lots of colleges, even some of the Ivies, but Kenyon really stuck out to me. It would be my first choice of college, but since my family does not qualify me for much financial aid, I would need some merit aid to make going there possible. Here are my stats:
4.0 average, unweighted
2380 SAT (I only took it once)
740 Math II, 780 Bio-M
1st in my class (of 83)
National Merit Semifinalist
5’s on AP tests in English Lit, English Lang, and US History
I’m taking AP Macro and Microeconomics
I’ve taken every honors and AP course offered at my school
Extracurriculars: Marching Band for 6 years (Captain for last 2); Varsity Tennis for 4 years (Captain senior year); tutoring middle school students for community service for 4 years (300+ hours); assistant editor of school newspaper for 2 years; pep, jazz, all-county, area all-state band for past 5-6 years; won Angelo Melaro writing contest 9th & 11th grade; played in pit of school musical for 3 years; National Honor Society for 2 years (Secretary)
I plan to major in neuroscience.