What are the chances of getting in as a transfer to Oberlin

I am a freshman at Cal Poly I am applying as a transfer student to Oberlin. My college GPA is 3.57 and currently I work at a theatre, am a active member of math clubs, volunteer at an animal shelter, am in fencing club. I want to apply as a math major. I am apply for sophmore so they still look at my high school stats so here they are:

Sat : 720 math, 620 reading, 560 writing
sat 2 : 780 math level 2, 590 us history, 720 chemistry
gpa: 3.67(unweighted) 3.78(weighted i think)
APs: Chemistry (4), Ap lang (3), ap bc calc (3), ap stat (4), apush (2) <–taken off

EC in High school:
-National fencer
-tutor
-community service
-3 years of cross country

Oberlin is my top choice but here are the other schools I am apply to Hamilton, Boston College, Carleton, Case Western, Northeastern, Reed, Stevens Institute of Technology. If you have any suggestion I would love to hear them.

Also: I applied to Oberlin and Boston College for freshman admission but I was waitlisted