<p>Violadad will respond I am sure, and I might even have a close approximation to what he is going to say, but here is my answer based on my interpretation of the sentence in question.</p>
<p>A lot of the questions on here often center around predicting specific outcomes, like in the case of the original post, “Do prestigious music school graduates, such as UMich music school grads, have more job prospects - in jobs that just requires a college degree, not a specific one like Engineering degree - than non-econ/stat liberal arts majors of prestigious schools?” It is a question that cannot be answered, it is like asking how much someone would make in the academic world if they graduate from Harvard versus graduating from a state university, it is based on a false premise that there is some way to validate this. Like everything in this world, it depends on the person. Someone majoring in music might have taught themselves computer skills in demand, so if they don’t go into music, they can get a job that pays well, someone else might end up doing something else that pays less well…</p>
<p>From another perspective, you often see questions that in effect ask if you got to Juilliard, does that mean you have a better chance at higher level music positions then if you went to let’s say a music program at a liberal arts college…leaving out the obvious (that Juilliard and other high level conservatories have the mystique that attracts a lot of people applying, which in turn translates to high levels of achievement at entry), the answer is there is no way directly to answer that, because cause and effect is hard to calibrate, and it certaintly isn’t going to be “you are twice as likely to get a spot in the NY Philharmonic if you go to Juilliard then if you go to podunk U”, because admission to the NY Phil has a lot of factors associated with it that have nothing to do with the school you went to <em>shrug</em>. </p>
<p>There just is no good way empirically to answer such questions, in other words, and I think that is what Violadad is talking about and quite honestly I think if you are focusing on that in terms of deciding what to do, you may end up disappointed at the results if you assume thinks like that. It is like the mentality that if you don’t get into Juilliard, NEC, Curtiss and so forth, at the ‘top’ (in quotes for a reason), you are doomed to second rate status, and that is simply not true (that today is even more true, as kids apply from foreign countries where often achievement is directly tied to where you go to school, rather even then on the quality of the education or the like). There are advantages going to a top program in terms of teachers, relative levels of the students, opportunities and so forth, but there are a lot of people who graduate from Juilliard and struggle, or leave music <em>shrug</em>.</p>