Sorry - @thumper1 makes a valid point.
This student believes they’re likely in at Brown because they are a legacy.
It no doubt helps and the President of Brown defends it even though kids are calling to end it. One study suggests 10% are legacy. However, that doesn’t mean this student will make the cut - they have plenty to choose from - and @thumper1 is providing a dose of reality. While a 1530 is good, it is not off the charts for Brown - not top 25%. We don’t know how the essays are, etc. Brown, per CDS, is 38% white (I assume the student is) and their overall admission rate was 5.5%. So yes, ED will likely help as does legacy - but even if there’s a 10 or 15% chance, OP shouldn’t “assume”.
“I have enough legacy at Brown that I could probably get in”
Brown says this:
While such a relationship may be a consideration when it comes to choosing among equally strong candidates, it does not ensure admission. Brown has a strong responsibility to create a new generation of successful college graduates.
To me, the bigger issue is - the OP doesn’t know what they want. They want an open curriculum (Brown) but love Yale the most - but assume they won’t get in. I may be crazy - but I’m not sure how someone can know this. After all, I promise and yes this is anecdotal, that there are kids who get into Yale but not Brown. They have city schools and rural schools on the list. Sure, one could be happy at both - but OP should find the right school for them vs. gambling four years of their life for a hope.
OP themselves has a top 4 and Brown isn’t a part of that list - so that’s another issue.
Anyway - yes, @thumper1 is anecdotal and most of what anyone says on here is opinion - and that’s fine.
But OP - while a fine record and I hope the best for them - in my opinion (that’s what it is) - is a bit overconfident in the realities. A smart Caucasian girl - they’ll have plenty to choose from and my guess is (again anecdotal or a guess) that the acceptance rate in that category is even lower than the overall.
Good luck to OP - like everyone, I hope she has targets and safeties too. While I’m not an ED fan, I hope if she uses it - she uses it at where she really wants to spend four years. After all, four years, day after day, is a long time and no point in settling before you even try. You worked too hard to accomplish what you did - to not give it your best attempt!!