<p>Here’s a 2005 article from USA Today that discussed the AMA’s efforts to limit the number of medical students:
[USATODAY.com</a> - Medical miscalculation creates doctor shortage](<a href=“http://www.usatoday.com/news/health/2005-03-02-doctor-shortage_x.htm]USATODAY.com”>http://www.usatoday.com/news/health/2005-03-02-doctor-shortage_x.htm)</p>
<p>Some excerpts:</p>
<p>"For the past quarter-century, the American Medical Association and other industry groups have predicted a glut of doctors and worked to limit the number of new physicians. In 1994, the Journal of the American Medical Association predicted a surplus of 165,000 doctors by 2000. </p>
<p>"‘It didn’t happen,’ says Harvard University medical professor David Blumenthal, author of a New England Journal of Medicinearticle on the doctor supply. ‘Physicians aren’t driving taxis. In fact, we’re all gainfully employed, earning good incomes, and new physicians are getting two, three or four job offers.’</p>
<p>"The nation now has about 800,000 active physicians, up from 500,000 20 years ago. They’ve been kept busy by a growing population and new procedures ranging from heart stents to liposuction.</p>
<p>"But unless more medical students begin training soon, the supply of physicians will begin to shrink in about 10 years when doctors from the baby boom generation retire in large numbers.</p>
<p>"‘Almost everyone agrees we need more physicians,’ says Carl Getto, chairman of the Council on Graduate Medical Education, a panel Congress created to recommend how many doctors the nation needs. ‘The debate is over how many.’</p>
<p>"Getto’s advocacy of more doctors is remarkable because his advisory committee and its predecessor have been instrumental since the 1980s in efforts to restrict the supply of new physicians. In a new study sent to Congress, the council reverses that policy and recommends training 3,000 more doctors a year in U.S. medical schools.</p>
<p>"Even the American Medical Association (AMA), the influential lobbying group for physicians, has abandoned its long-standing position that an “oversupply exists or is immediately expected.” </p>
<p>"‘The truth is, we don’t know if there’s a shortage of physicians,’ says AMA President John Nelson, a Salt Lake City obstetrician. ‘It looks like there are enough physicians for the short term, but maybe we need more because of the aging population.’</p>
<p>"Congress controls the supply of physicians by how much federal funding it provides for medical residencies — the graduate training required of all doctors. </p>
<p>"To become a physician, students spend four years in medical school. Graduates then spend three to seven years training as residents, usually treating patients under supervision at a hospital. Residents work long hours for $35,000 to $50,000 a year. Even doctors trained in other countries must serve medical residencies in the USA to practice here. </p>
<p>"Medicare, which provides health care to the nation’s seniors, also is the primary federal agency that controls the supply of doctors. It reimburses hospitals for the cost of training medical residents.</p>
<p>"The government spends about $11 billion annually on 100,000 medical residents, or roughly $110,000 per resident. The number of residents has hovered at this level for the past decade, according to the Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education. </p>
<hr>
<p>"In 1997, to save money and prevent a doctor glut, Congress capped the number of residents that Medicare will pay for at about 80,000 a year. Another 20,000 residents are financed by the Veterans Administration and Medicaid, the state-federal health care program for the poor. Teaching hospitals pay for a small number of residents without government assistance. </p>
<p>"Medicare, which faces enormous financial pressure in coming decades, already spends 3% of its budget training physicians and may not have the resources to spend more.</p>
<p>“The United States stopped opening medical schools in the 1980s because of the predicted surplus of doctors. The Association of American Medical Colleges dropped this long-standing view in 2002 with the statement:
‘It now appears that those predictions may be in error.’ Last month, it recommended increasing the number of U.S. medical students by 15%.”</p>