Yale SCEA Class of 2015 - Chance prediction.. how do YOU think YOU will fare?

<p>It’s really not that hard to finish an essay in a short amount of time. I mean, two essays with approx. 500 words?</p>

<p>I did start my essays a week before I submitted them. Not that they are of any plausible quality, but at least I got them done. This has nothing to do with confidence. I"m just lazy, and such is not a very good habit.</p>

<p>As a natural procrastinator, I just couldn’t help not procrastinating. There is nothing wrong with that. I really don’t see what you guys are trying to say to Silverturtle. </p>

<p>The EC essay and the Why Yale essays are REALLY REALLY short and took me about 5mn each to answer, too.</p>

<p>Compared to you CC guys, I have pretty bad SAT scores.
cr630-ma680-wr730 (2040)
good transcript, mostly As and A+s w/ a B here and there – Rank 2/367
I have good ECs - Key Club, Mu Alpha Theta, NHS (Secretary), Year-Round Swimming & Varsity swimming, 2nd chair Clarinet in Wind Ensemble
I think my recs are good…I also wrote good essays, mostly about my ethnicity.
I am the son of a Bolivian immigrant and a Finnish immigrant and I wrote about the fusion of the two cultures in my life.
For my common app essay, I wrote about an experience I had at a school for the deaf in Bolivia.</p>

<p>ADR 30%-60%-10%
if i didnt have the “race” card, i wouldn’t be this confident</p>

<p>thoughts?</p>

<p>@quomodo, hi sorry i didn’t realize you asked me a question! the %s were my prediction based on data from previous years provided by my school. and…i’m a girl.</p>

<p>@everyone else, i’d have to back silverturtle on this one. i too procrastinated and ended up submitting my app just before midnight. it’s hard to correct procrastination once you begin… besides, pressure helps you write faster!</p>

<p>Changing my prediction to 10 accepted/70 deferred/20 rejected. Feeling very hopeless right now. <em>sigh</em></p>

<p>Anyone else want to change their predictions?</p>

<p>Going to put a maybe 20/50/30, methinks?
I wish I could resubmit my app though, the changes I’ve made from Yale to my first RD app are substantial to say the least :(</p>

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<p>In this case, I think quality > quantity, so referring to the quality of his posts would be a better argument.</p>

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<p>Again, I don’t quite get your reason. I think it may be a bit extreme to refer to them as “new posters” who are “opposing him.” They are simply offering their perspective on a issue being discussed. Besides, CC welcomes “new posters” who give their opinions to add to its knowledge collection. </p>

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<p>I have to disagree with this one. Waiting until the last second to complete one’s application may be common, but it is not only difficult but also dangerous. When you claim “application” I assume you mean just the common app and Yale supplement (in Yale’s case if you haven’t paid the fee then you’re screwed). What if something unexpected occurs on 10/31/2010, like a snowstorm that cuts off all the electricity at one’s home? Or simply the malfunction of the only computer that you have a completed essay on? If one were to mail the essay then weather can seriously deter his plans. From this perspective mentioning the brevity of the essays does not really add much to your argument.</p>

<p>yeah I’m changing my prediction to 100/0/0</p>

<p>I wish…</p>

<p>Regarding the above procrastinators, don’t take this the wrong way, but I think you’re all a bit crazy. To leave something of this importance (I’m assuming getting into Yale is important to you, but of course if not then procrastination is not an issue) to the very last minute and justify it with statements like “pressure makes you write faster,” or “500 words isn’t very much” just sounds mental to me. Presumably you’ve spent the last few years doing endless ECs and plunging hours and hours and hours into getting a top GPA for this very application but you are then happy to jeopardise it all with poor will power and subsequently bad, or at least not as good as they could be, essays. Unless you’re 100% certain that your rushed essay is as good as it would have been had you given it some more more then, I repeat: crazy.</p>

<p>^I agree with you.</p>

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<p>Indeed, from that narrow perspective. Of course the length of the required essays affects the ease of completing the application at the last second. The situations you describe are unlikely enough for me to not retract the “[not] particularly difficult” phrase. </p>

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<p>Unless those justifications are valid.</p>

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<p>Your standards for declaring craziness are quite liberal.</p>

<p>To be honest, I am very surprised by the upset that my comments caused; I hadn’t imagined that some posters would be so riled by the idea that others did not approach the application process in what is deemed by them to be the most effective and in turn logical way.</p>

<p>I personally would feel uncomfortable waiting until the very last minute to submit my app, but it doesn’t bother me if others do.</p>

<p>I don’t even know why there’s a debate going on. The deadline passed a month ago and everyone here got their app in on time.</p>

<p>I’ve been a pretty silent member of this community, reading but not posting, until now. I’ve read everything there is to read on CC about how perfect scores can’t guarantee admissions, and I accept this reality. I just wanted to share my predictions for once.</p>

<p>I applied to Yale SCEA with optimism. I had a 2400 SAT (my only sitting, October 2010), and this week’s score report notified me that I had 3 perfect subject tests (800 Physics, 800 Math 2, 800 Chemistry). Since I’m in Canada, I don’t have a GPA or class rank, but I’m pretty sure my average is strongly competitive.</p>

<p>I’ve been in pretty much most of the same clubs throughout high school, am currently the VP of Engineering and co-president of Mock Trials, and I’ve been an executive of Student Council two of the three years that I’ve been a member of the student government. I’d say my ECs are decent, and though I don’t have any Olympiads, I’ve competed well in the Canadian math contests and science/physics contests. I compete in a lot of university-hosted engineering/science olympics as well.</p>

<p>I’m not sure that my teacher recs were as exemplary as the ones I obtained for my RD apps due to the shorter time frame of EA, but I don’t want to worry unnecessarily about things that are out of my control.</p>

<p>Unfortunately, I am also Asian, and international. HYPM don’t treat international students <em>too</em> differently, but there is still the reality that the international pool is probably full of very competitive applicants.</p>

<p>I would probably evaluate my chances at 30% acceptance, 60% deferral, 10% rejection. Does anyone concur, or disagree strongly?</p>

<p>Thanks.</p>

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<p>I would be a bit more optimistic (~45% chance of acceptance).</p>

<p>My prediction at this point is 5% accepted, 90% deferred, and 5% rejected. For some reason, I REALLY think they’ll defer me.</p>

<p>um rereading my yale supplement i now think i have a 0% chance of acceptance. haha. sigh.</p>

<p>^I am the exact same way. I doubt I’ll be rejected, but I doubt even more that I’ll be accepted. Which sucks, because my chances RD aren’t amazing either, and I’d like some time to fall in love with other schools instead of spending all my time on Yale and getting rejected RD. :/</p>

<p>Optimism everyone! Chancing ourselves is of no use, given the randomness of admissions.</p>

<p>Admit/defer/reject may be up to the indescribable whims of an admissions officer, but they are by no means random.</p>

<p>I agree with the optimism, though.</p>

<p>Well not random exactly, but we’ve all seen people with great stats/EC’s get rejected, so how do we know?</p>

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<p>I sincerely hope no one gets put in a situation in which they cannot apply simply because of whether conditions, but I still have to reaffirm my claim that such events are not only possible but likely. Please don’t refute it by claiming it is a “narrow” perspective. Saying that it is narrow really doesn’t tell me anything other than that you still don’t see my point. While you may not have experienced that kind of events, many people around me have, so I’m definitely not looking at it from the perspective that you claim. Maybe this is not your intent, but I definitely think the way you are presenting procrastination is misleading, in that it hurts more than helps a person.</p>