Admissions Predictions

Hey everyone!
I am a current high school senior in CA wrapping up college applications. Before I list the schools I’m applying to, I will list some of my stats/info about myself:

-Double minority (LGBT and African American)
-First-generation student
-GPA: 3.77 (U), 4.02 (W), UC GPAS: 3.73 (U), 4.09 (W)
-No test scores due to COVID-19 pandemic
-Class Rank: 6/344 (top 2% of my class at a public HS)
-Activities/Hobbies: Student Government, African American Heritage Club, National Honors Society, Boys Tennis Varsity, Caretaker for late mother, Link Crew, Volunteering at nearby church. Positions I’ve held include treasurer, club president, secretary, and commissioner.
-Intended major: Sociology. I wish to pursue a Masters in Social Work after.
-Personal Essay topic: How my mother’s death impacted me and how I overcame this.

Schools I’ve applied to/applying to include:
-Harvard (Restrictive Early Action)
-Yale
-Columbia
-UPenn
-Princeton
-NYU
-USC
-Stanford
-UCLA
-UC Irvine
-UCSD
-UCSB
-Cal State Fullerton
-San Diego State
-Cal Poly Pomona
-Cal State San Marcos

I know this information is a little vague and doesn’t really showcase every aspect of my application. However, I would love some feedback from anyone willing to give me some.

The Cal states and UC’s do not consider race/ethnicity or sexual orientation in there admissions review.

You look like a competitive applicant and being in the top of your class along with first generation will help your chances.

CSUSM: Safety
CSUF/CPP/SDSU: Match
UCSB/UCI: High Match
UCSD: Low Reach
UCLA/USC: Reach
Stanford: High Reach.

Best of luck and sorry to hear about your Mother.

Some UC statistical admission data:
2019 Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 3.80-4.19 capped weighted and not major specific:
UCLA: 7%
UCSD: 33%
UCSB: 32%
UCI: 35%

98%

**2020 UC capped weighted GPA averages along with 25th-75th percentile range: **
UCLA: 4.25 (4.18-4.31)
UCSD: 4.18(4.04-4.28)
UCSB: 4.17 (4.03-4.27)
UCI: 4.11 (3.96-4.26)

Your GPA is low for the Ivies, Stanford, and the upper tier of UCs. Not having test scores will also hurt you, especially considering your GPA. However, you seem to have pretty good activities, not to mention your adverse background. Your personal statement will also help you out. I’m just guessing here, but I’d say that Harvard and Stanford are both reach +, while the rest of the Ivies plus UCLA and USC are reaches. Best of luck!

I really appreciate the feedback. Really hoping that at the bare minimum one school says yes to me. I guess only time will tell!

Thank you and I appreciate your predictions! Interested to see how the decisions go in March!

Consider adding Vassar or Pitzer. Best of luck to you.