<p>Let me first say I have no personal experience with MIT, never applied there, and have done no rigorous analysis. I post this off the top of my head.</p>
<p>I really am enjoying reading these EA results. We know that MIT has placed an arbitrary cap of 30% on the number of people it will admit EA (according to the post by Ben Jones). So let's think about how that constrains them.</p>
<p>First of all, they have diversity goals they need to meet. EA is a great way to accomplish this. For instance, they need to not only admit women, but get them to attend MIT. Let's say they have an extremely qualified female candidate. If they admit her EA, it increases substantially the chance she will attend MIT. There are fewer extremely qualified women in the applicant pool than men, so they have to really roll out the red carpet for them.</p>
<p>For men, on the other hand, they can safely defer an extremely qualified candidate, and admit him later. He'll probably still go to MIT, if he doesn't there are plenty of extremely qualified men on the waitlist eager for his spot. </p>
<p>Beyond the diversity goals, there are a certain number of superstars, those need to be admitted EA, of course.</p>
<p>A lot of the CC deferred people seem to be extremely qualified, male, non-super-stars. I bet MIT has some of you in a pile of people to be admitted RD, but since they arbitrarily cap EA at 30%, there just isn't enough room to admit you yet. I think it's a little mean, but they don't want to seem unfair to less sophisticated applicants by admitting 60% of the class EA.</p>
<p>For youngin's reading this, it's very obvious you need to play a sport if at all possible. Eagle scout is a huge plus. If you are extremely qualified but fall short of being a superstar, don't meet any diversity goals and can't show you are "balanced", you're in big trouble.</p>