<p>There’s no way to answer your question. It depends entirely on the school, which further depends in part on geography as far more people apply to colleges in or near their home state than far away. Also, Connecticut is just a medium-sized state by population; only about 35,000 students a year take the SAT there, so the premise of your question, that there are a lot of college applicants from Connecticut, is simply wrong. Of those 35,000, only about 28,000 bother to send their SAT scores to a college—which presumably they would do if they’re applying and the college requires it, so # of scores sent becomes a pretty good proxy for the number of applicants (at least in SAT-dominant states like NY and CT)… Of those who do send in scores, the most popular college by far is UConn, which gets scores from 42.8% of Connecticut score-senders. The next most popular are Central Connecticut State (22.1%), Southern Connecticut State (18.5%), Eastern Connecticut State (13.5%), Western Connecticut State (10.9%), and Quinnipiac (9.8%)—all in-state schools, though Quinnipiac is private. In fact, of the 30 colleges most applied to by Connecticut residents, all are either in Connecticut, elsewhere in New England (mostly in neighboring Massachusetts or Rhode Island), or in neighboring New York. Only when you get down to #31 and below do Connecticut residents venture to apply to schools as far away as Pennsylvania (Penn State, Villanova, Penn) and DC (Georgetown, GW). In short, Connecticut residents are inveterate stay-at-homes; not many venture outside the Northeast for college, and relatively few leave Connecticut and immediately adjacent states.</p>
<p>As for Connecticut residents applying to Ivies: well, nearby Yale is reasonably popular (1,444 Connecticut residents had their SAT scores sent there, about one-tenth as many as sent them to UConn), as are Brown (1,192) in neighboring Rhode Island and Cornell (1,165) in neighboring New York. But Dartmouth (804), Harvard (774), Penn (764), and Columbia (734) barely make the top 45 most popular colleges for Connecticut residents, and Princeton doesn’t show up at all–so its number must be lower than GW’s 730, at #45. These are not huge numbers of people applying to the Ivies from Connecticut. And even smaller numbers of Connecticut residents apply to top schools in other parts of the country, like Stanford or Chicago. So you can’t ask the question in a general way assuming Connecticut applicants are going to be numerous at every college, or at every elite college. They’re not.</p>
<p>New York is another matter; that’s a truly large state. There, about 160,000 take the SAT annually—almost 5 times as many as in Connecticut. But the stay-at-home pattern is the same: of the 30 most popular colleges for New Yorkers (as measured by where they send SAT scores, a pretty good proxy for where they apply), 27 are in New York State, and 18 of them, including 8 of the top 10, are public. Cornell is pretty popular with New Yorkers (9,618 apps/SAT scores), Columbia a little less so (5,222). Brown chugs in with 3,235. The rest of the Ivies don’t make the 45 most popular among New Yorkers. </p>
<p>So from these limited data I’d say it might be a disadvantage to apply to Yale, Brown, or Cornell if you’re a Connecticut resident, just because you’re in competition with so many other local applicants; and to Cornell, Columbia, or Brown if you’re a New York resident, for the same reason. Other than that, I don’t think we have any basis for saying the residents of either these two states are going to be at a disadvantage at any other top schools.</p>