Chance me for Cornell, Tufts, Amherst...?

Chance Me / Match Me!
1

So I’m applying to seventeen schools, many of which are very competitive and I know my chances are slim. Which do you think I could definitely get into, maybe get into, and definitely not get into, based on my stats? Here are the schools:

Amherst
Brown
Colby
Colgate
Connecticut College
Cornell
Dartmouth
Johns Hopkins
Lafayette
Middlebury
Northeastern
St. Lawrence
Tufts
University of Rochester
Vassar
Wesleyan
Williams

GPA: 99.32 (UW), 100.94 (W)
Class rank: 1/532 (UW), 2/532 (W)
SAT (single sitting): 1520 (790 math, 730 reading/writing)
Bio E SAT II: 780
Math Level 2 SAT II: 750
AP Scores: AP Lang: 3 (not submitting), AP Physics 1: 5
Senior Year Courses: AP Calculus BC, AP Biology, AP Lit & Comp, AP Macro, University Spanish, Honors Symphonic Band, gym. (99 avg for fist quarter.)
Awards: Harvard Book Award, Nat. Merit Commendation, NHS, Spanish NHS, some school awards
ECs: nothing that really stands out…I won’t list everything but I’m a figure skater and practice about 10 hrs/week and have some awards associated with that, I play the clarinet, volunteer weekly with different organizations (Learn to Skate, library, homeless shelter), babysit/house-sit, etc. Also, I have had a job for the past four years. Not much leadership besides being co-section leader in band and “supervisor” of other Learn to Skate volunteers…

My personal essay is decent, I think…definitely not a conventional topic.

Teacher recs are pretty good, I think. Guidance counselor rec is probably terrible; I applied EA and she wrote my rec along with all other EA’s the night before…

I have no hooks. The only thing I can think of that’s unique-ish is being a girl applying as a physics major??

2

No one can tell you that with complete authority, and the best way to organize that list and your chances is a web search away. In addition to the school’s acceptance data posted on their own sites, try prepscholar or one of the others that calculate based on GPA and test score. Just be aware those really aren’t the only factors.

How many AP courses does your school offer? Have you taken any college level classes?

Are your recommendations likely to be worded as, “This is the best student I have taught in years.” or more, “Katie is a well-regarded student who works hard?”

Not everything that influences your chances is visible in what you have posted here.

Some may quibble with my placement of Tufts or another school here or there, but my guesses are not too bad:

Amherst, Brown, Cornell, Dartmouth, Johns Hopkins, Vassar, Williams: 6%-18% chance, perhaps.

Colby, Middlebury, Tufts, Wesleyan: 19-29%, maybe.

Northeastern, Connecticut College, Lafayette: 30-40%, more or less.

Colgate, University of Rochester: 41-50%, I guess.

St. Lawrence: 51-69%, probably.

Anyone who tells you for certain is yanking your chain, unless they work in that school’s admissions and they know your real name.

3

@margaret1515 I ran your GPA and SAT score on prepscholar and they gave you a 99.47% of getting into Colgate.

Either my guesses are off by 50%, which means you have almost a 68% chance of getting into your tier one schools, or all of this chancing is utter nonsense

4

@margaret1515 On the other hand, prepscholar has your chance at Dartmouth 8.53%, within my guess range.

5

Your stats are great. With fantastic essays I could see you getting into several of these schools on the list such as Connecticut College, Colby, Colgate, Middlebury, Northeastern, Lafayette, Vassar, Wesleyan, etc. The reaches are the Ivies, Hopkins, Amherst, and Williams

6

@IvyGrad09 I would say switch the placement of Vassar and Tufts; that seems to be more accurate in terms of acceptance rate/admissions standards.

7

Out of 17, I’m going to take a guess and say you get in to at least 7, maybe 10.