<p>I’ll quote myself from this thread <a href=“Chances for University of Virginia - #16 by FCCDAD - Chance Me / Match Me! - College Confidential Forums”>Chances for University of Virginia - #16 by FCCDAD - Chance Me / Match Me! - College Confidential Forums;
<p>"I did a little research…</p>
<p>Defining NoVa as (Fairfax County, Loudoun County, Prince William County, Arlington County, Fairfax City, Falls Church City, Manassass City, Manassass Park City, Alexandria City)</p>
<p>For 2012 (most recent year I found data)
Population of Virginia: 8,186,628
Population of NoVa: 2,347,256 (28.7% of state)
(source: <a href=“http://www.us-places.com/Virginia/Virginia.htm”>http://www.us-places.com/Virginia/Virginia.htm</a>)</p>
<p>For 2013-2014 first year students at UVA:
IS total 3800 admitted / 8912 applied, 42.6%, 2331 entered (61.3% yield)
NoVa 1751 / 4312, 40.6%, 1057 entered (60.4% yield)
OOS 4971 / 20,157, 24.7%, 1244 entered (25.0% yield)
(source: <a href=“Higher Ed Info for Virginia”>Higher Ed Info for Virginia)</p>
<p>NoVa placed 1057 / 2331 entering students, so 45.3% of the entering IS students were from NoVa.
4312 / 8912 applications, 48.4% of IS applications were from NoVa!</p>
<p>I think 40.6% admission rate, compared to statewide 42.6%, and 45.3% of entering students, compared to 48.4% of IS applications, is not significant. To me, it simply suggests that some more students farther down in their class rankings are submitting applications.</p>
<p>I think 45.3% of entering IS students, 48.4% of IS applications, coming from an area having 28.7% of the state population, is VERY significantly disproportional. We’re talking 50% higher than expected.</p>
<h2>For some reason, NoVa students are simply far more likely to <em>apply</em> to UVA than students from anywhere else in Virginia are."</h2>
<p>So the admission rate for NoVa (40.6%) is only 2% lower than Virginia overall (42.6%). The WaPo article doesn’t bother to actually add up the total numbers for the region, and instead just mentions how much the rates vary for each county over the years. Lynchburg city does not have enough applicants for one year’s data to be statistically reliable.</p>
<p>This is just plain bad reporting: “With so many high-performing students in Northern Virginia, many families feel their children have to meet a higher standard to gain admission to the best state schools because the number of seats is limited by some kind of regional quota.” Many families? How many? They “feel” that there is “some kind of” regional quota? </p>
<p>One father is quoted as saying his daughter should have gotten in because of her 4.28 GPA. But a few lines later we learn that the most important admissions factors are: ““Curriculum, grades, rank in class, GPA, standardized test scores, a demonstrated love of learning, academic improvement, academic industry, rigor of program, trends in grades, recommendations, extracurricular involvement, honors and awards, leadership ability, writing ability, artistic talent, service.” So what was his daughter’s curriculum, rank in class, unweighted GPA, standardized test scores, and how do they compare to the averages for admitted IS students? They don’t tell us; either they couldn’t be bothered to research this article, even to get the data on the only applicant mentioned, or what they learned didn’t support the impression they were trying to convey. Either way, bad journalism.</p>
<p>It should be easy to show a bias against NoVa, if it existed. Just show that admitted NoVa applicants on average have higher GPA, class standing, and test scores to get an admission offer than students in the rest of the state need. </p>
<p>But packing the application process with 50% more of your students proportionally than any other region, and then complaining that your admission rate is only 40% instead of 42%, is rather disingenuous. </p>
<p>Please feel free to check my math and my sources, I provided them above.</p>