Chance me please!! Transfer for sophomore year UNC UMich ND

Hi, I’m out of state and am so nervous about getting in. I’m currently a freshman at my state school. My college gpa (One semester) is a 3.51. I know I can do better and will definitely do better this spring semester, but it won’t be considered for admissions right?

My gpa in high school was a 4.0 weighted, 39/475 class ranking top 10%
ACT score was a 34

EC’s and essay I’d say decent

I got one letter of rec from my scholars professor (I’m in the university of scholars program at my current school)

What would you guys say my chances are? Am I hurt by being Outside of state? I’m from NY btw.

If it matters, my grades in college were as follows:

Chem 131 (Gen Chem) (4 credits): A-
Chem 133 (Gen Chem Lab) (1 credit): B
ESM 150 (Materials of the modern world, taken for tech credit) (3 credits): B+
MAT 126 (Calc 2/B) (3 credits): B
SCH 101 (Mandatory seminar class for scholars) (1 credit): S (Graded as satisfactory or unsatisfactory)
SOC 105 (Intro to Sociology) (3 credits): A
WRT 102 (3 credits): A-

Any opinions?