Chance me RD Please

My scores are

SAT:1510
AP scores:
APUSH 5
Psych 5

GPA 4.1 weighted 3.81 unweighted

EC:
Eagle Scout
Interned for my Senator (rec letter as well) and wrote a formal policy proposal
Worked for a nonprofit and president of organization wrote rec letter
rose 250k for local religious organization as a leader on its committee
School badminton team
Duke TIP summer program for 2 years
Stanford summer program for 2 years
worked a job at a company where I was tech support
performed research at a university about mangroves and environmental policy with local organizations and researchers
California Scholarship federation member throughout high school

Other stuff:
tutoring, normal community service,

I got a letter of rec from my APUSH teacher and honors anatomy teacher and they seemed to be very excited to write one for me though I don’t know how big a deal that is, counselor letter should be ok, not amazing

I think my essays were pretty good, I am applying for Political Science and public health studies

I am an Indian Male in a well off family

I recognize my stats may not be great but I don’t know if my extracurriculars are good enough. Please be brutally honest and thank you for any input! Also would not having subject scores be a problem?

I think you have a great chance, the main thing that stands out to me is raising 250k, that’s very impressive. If you did that yourself or created the organization yourself, that is extremely impressive; however, the AO might be suspicious because it is unrealistic for a high schooler to single-handedly raise a quarter of a million dollars, it would be good to have some proof for that in supplemental rec or supplemental information or additional info. It seems to me that the organization as a whole raised that much money and that you are not the founder of the organization , which is less impressive.
However, your UW GPA is low, that’s the main weakness you have considering tons of vals will be applying to hopkins. Subject test scores would obviously help, especially for indian males, but it won’t hurt to not have them; it would just give you a small boost to have them. Good luck, I’m sure you’ll do great, and take everything with a grain of salt because I’m not an AO!

Thanks for the feedback! I did not found the organization but I am a leader for the organization and raising the money was under my oversight. Im not sure about how impressive that still is, but I’ve communicated that I’m not the sole person who raised the money in my application. And thanks again!

I’d say low chances - I’ve interviewed some ED applicants that were rejected with better stats and ECs on paper (international awards such as IBO silver medalist with 4.0 and 1550+ SATs). As indicated above your GPA and SAT are below average/median. RD acceptance rate is around 8% - no one therefore has great chances. Make sure you apply to safeties.