MODERATOR’S NOTE:
May I remind users that the name of the website is College Confidential, not Guess the HS. If the OP wanted you to know the name of the school, she would have told you. So please don’t drop clues (or blatantly name the school) that I have to (or had to in this case) edit out, even if the OP may have mentioned it herself in passing several years ago.
Having said that, I need to concur that the school’s college counselors have a better idea of the kid’s chances than we do, in part because they have a more complete picture of her and know they other students applying to the same colleges.They are also better equipped to help her put together a list of reach/match/safeties. In this, I speak from personal experience as a BS alum.
Chance threads are an interesting parlor game for some of the kids. Personally, I find them pointless when the college in question has a sub-10% acceptance rate and even more so when the HS is a feeder school. Having had 4 chance threads already, I’m not sure that you will hear anything that has not been already stated. Experienced users here can validate the list that the counselor and your daughter have come up with, and perhaps offer some suggestions based on her parameters that have not been considered.