Chances at NYU Stern, Carnegie Dietrich, Cornell, and Duke

So here are my stats:

Objective:

New SAT: 1410 (700 in EBR&W and 710 in Math, WILL BE TAKING AGAIN)
SAT II: 730 in Math 1 and a 660 in Math 2
Unweighted GPA: 3.88
Weighted GPA: 5.21
Class Rank: 5/525
AP: Calc AB, Calc BC, Stats, Environ, Bio, World, U.S. History, Psychology, English Lang (Have passed all of them or better)
Senior Course Load: Multivariable Calculus, AP U.S. Gov, AP Comp. Gov, AP Micro, AP Macro, AP English Lit, AP Spanish
Awards: AP Merit Scholar

Subjective:

Sports:
JV and Varsity Football (9-12, Captain my senior year, but NOT RECRUITED)
JV Baseball (9-10, was the statistician for the whole program)
Varsity Lacrosse (11-12)

Other ECs:

Spanish Club (9-12, Co-founder of the club, and I am fluent)
UNICEF (9-12, President)
KEY Club (9-12)
Speech (11-12, Captain of Extemporaneous Speaking)
Debate (11-12, Captain of Congressional Debate, also a PF Debater with many awards in both)
Math Club (11-12)
National Honors Society (11-12)
Amnesty International (12, joined because I accidentally walked in on a meeting and got interested lol)
Practicing Martial Arts (I have 2 black belts)
Tutoring my siblings

Job/Work Experience: Worked at a movie theater between my junior and sophomore years

Volunteer Work: I have about 120 hours thanks to my ECs

Summer Activities:
Football workouts (AKA Hell on Earth)
Helping out with Speech and Debate

Essays:
Common App: 9/10. Very in-depth story about the relationship between my autistic brother and me.
CMU: 9/10. Witty, funny, and effective at explaining why CMU is a good fit.
NYU: 8/10. Similiarly witty and effective.
Duke: 9/10. Very unique and clever while demonstrating personal character.
Cornell: 8/10: Solid, funny, and effective.

Recommendations:
Teacher Rec. #1: 10/10. My Stats teacher who has caused everyone who has read the essay to cry.
Teacher Rec. #2: 9/10. My Spanish teacher. I’m apparently the best-speaking student he’s ever had.
Counselor Rec.: 8/10. I’ve had a lot of face-time with my counselor to work out schedules and things.
Additional Rec.: 8/10. From my football coach who says that I’m the smartest player he’s ever coached, but it’s not very specialized.

Other:
Ethnicity: White
Gender: Male
State: NC
Income: $80,000
Intended Major: Statistics