Chances for my non-safeties

<p>As a way to save time, I'm just going to copy and paste the information I posted in my safety schools thread, which has school information, academic information, and extracurricular information.</p>

<p>My senior class size is 493.
It offers 67 weighted courses, which include 28 IB, 12 AP, and 27 Pre-IB (not part of IB but are advanced courses to help prepare for IB classes).
Of 98 teachers with 15 years of experience, 51 have master's degrees and six have doctorates. </p>

<p>Here are the 2007 standardized test score averages:
SAT - 596 (Reading), 610 (Math), 592 (Writing).
ACT - 25 (Composite)</p>

<p>For IB Diploma students, roughly 100% of the 40 students trying for the diploma earned it for the class of 2008.</p>

<p>For the information on me, I'll primarily look at the information in my Common App application and my MIT application.</p>

<p>My GPA for the past three years (including 4 semesters of Math classes at a High School as a 7th and 8th grader) is 4.489. This puts me roughly about 12% of class (4.561 - 4.902 is top 10%). GPA for sophomore and Junior years is 4.67. GPA for Junior year is 4.77.</p>

<p>Class schedule this year:
IB English 12 (year)
Digital Art and Design (maybe year)
IB Chemistry 1 (year)
IB Theory of Knowledge (second part of year course)
IB Physics 2 (year)
IB Mathematics HL (year)
IB Spanish 5 (year)
One notable class that I have taken is Calculus 2/3, which included Multivariable and Vector Calculus and was taught by a former Professor at Harvey Mudd.
As is evident, I am doing the IB Diploma and expect a score of around 36.</p>

<p>Test Scores:
SAT - 710 / 690 (Reading), 750 / 800 (Math), 630 / 670 (Writing)
SAT II Math - 800
SAT II Physics - 750
ACT - 31 (English), 33 (Reading), 36 (Math), 33 (Science), 33 (Composite), no essay.
AP Calculus BC - 5
AP Computer Science AB - 5
IB History SL - 5
IB Computer Science - 5
Will take tests in IB Math HL, IB Physics HL, IB Spanish SL, IB English HL, AP Physics C, AP Statistics, and maybe more AP tests.</p>

<p>Other Activities:
People to People for three years to Australia, China, and Europe. I am going to the Presidential Inauguration with People to People.
Ultimate Frisbee Team for the past two years. Five hours a week for 30 weeks roughly.
Karate for 4 hours a year, 46 weeks a year, since I was 8. I am a 1st degree black belt soon to be a 2nd degree.
I've golfed for the past two years for roughly 5 hours a week, 15 weeks per year.
I am in Math Club this year for 3 hours a week 36 weeks a year. I was a substitute on the winning team of a Colorado State University Math Day tournament this year. I qualified for the AIME last year.
I am in Science Bowl this year for 4 hours a week 36 weeks a year.
I tutored at my school for 2.5 hours a week 30 weeks a year last year.
I have also hunted since I was eleven years.
I did Youth in Government this year and was able to pass my bill at General Assembly (yesterday, actually).
I was inducted into the National Honor Society this year.</p>

<p>The teachers that are writing my letters of recommendation are my former Calculus 2/3 teacher (who taught at Harvey Mudd) and my Theory of Knowledge teacher.</p>

<p>The schools that I am applying to are Harvey Mudd, Stanford, MIT, Caltech, Reed, and Rice. Harvey Mudd is Early Decision and the rest are regular. What are my chances? For Harvey Mudd, keep in mind that one of my rec letters is coming from a former professor at Harvey Mudd.</p>

<p>Your numbers, courses and ECs look like a match for Reed, but essays, recommendations and interview are also important. What are your academic and professional interests?</p>

<p>Main two academic interests are Physics and Math (Stat is not math in my book :P), as well as other sciences. I also like things like Philosophy, some historic things, and in a way, formal writing. I'm pretty much generally interested in a fairly large amount of things which sometimes includes politics.</p>

<p>I know that my general essay for common app is strong, and so is my Why HMC essay for Harvey Mudd. Both teachers that are writing letters of recommendation are good at it and have a lot of experience in it.</p>

<p>Main two areas for a career would be Physics or Math, though I'm willing to change that if I find something I like more.</p>

<p>Your choice of schools are excellent for physics and math. The top ten future-PhD undergrad schools are:</p>

<p>Physics: CalTech, Mudd, MIT, NM Mining, Reed, U Chicago, Princeton, Carleton, Marlboro, Rice</p>

<p>Math: CalTech, Mudd, MIT, Reed, Rice, Princeton, U Chicago, Carnegie Mellon, St. John's, Pomona</p>

<p>Or did you choose from these lists? ;)</p>

<p>Sort of yes and no :P</p>

<p>Let's see, I'll go in the order that they got added if I can.
Caltech originally came from, to be honest, its name and academics as well. I wouldn't place it highest on that list, though.
Harvey Mudd came from both the fact that my math teacher used to teach there and a book called Most Competitive Colleges by Barron or something like that. Like the overall environment and emphasis on humanity-type classes.
Stanford came from a friend who is going there now and also happened to take Calc 2/3 as a junior like me (and is white like me :P). This and the previous two also were helped by their locations in California (yay warm).
Reed was somewhere one of my friends said he was thinking about (though unfortunately he's only applying to CU Boulder, when I know he could go to better places) and I saw the information on the PhD stats that you mentioned. Meshes quite well with it's humanities factor as well.
MIT is from another friend and a rep visit.
Rice is somewhat from another friend, the stats you mentioned, and I like what the campus looks like.</p>

<p>Obviously these are brief explanations, though.</p>

<p>I think I'd order them as Harvey Mudd, Stanford, MIT, Reed or Caltech, then Rice. But if I don't get ED Harvey Mudd, I'll definitely put a lot of thought into choosing the ones that I (hopefully) get accepted to.</p>

<p>More insight please?</p>

<p>I wish I knew that much about colleges. I'm pretty much just going by what people on here tell me I'd have a good shot at LOL.</p>

<p>36 including bonus points?</p>

<p>Ya I think so. I've gotten 5s on Comp Sci and History, though I would have gotten a 7 on Chem if I had done it instead of Comp Sci. I expect 7s in Physics and Math HL then 5s in Spanish and English, though I could get more for those.</p>

<p>Anyone? Ten character limit...</p>

<p>Btw, my unweighted GPA is only 3.622 and will probably be 3.654 after this semester. GPA for Sophomore and Junior years is 3.741 and will probably be 3.765 after this semester.</p>

<p>Stanford is the only school on your list with a half decent ultimate team. You should pay more attention to these things when you are applying to colleges. Why even go to college if they have a bad ultimate team?</p>

<p>As I said, academics is the most important thing to me. Ultimate Frisbee would never be the deciding factor of where I go to College. If it was that important to me, I would be going to CU Boulder. It's not.</p>

<p>I haven't really gotten any answers on my chances here...</p>

<p>Por favor?</p>

<p>Harvey Mudd--Match
Stanford--Reach
MIT--Reach
Caltech--Match to Slight Reach (really difficult to estimate your chances here)--you are so close to borderline that it probably depends upon the recommendations.
Reed--Match
Rice--Match</p>

<p>just write really good essays and you really can't go wrong. it's tough to call though.</p>

<p>chance back?
<a href="http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/603590-i-just-found-out-i-f-d-up-last-thread-damn.html%5B/url%5D"&gt;http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/603590-i-just-found-out-i-f-d-up-last-thread-damn.html&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p>

<p>Thanks. Those are roughly the chances I was thinking of, but I wasn't sure.</p>

<p>Mudd- just about IN
Stanford- quite a reach, but still quite plausible (35-65 for yes-no)?
MIT- Reach, probably won't get in.
Caltech- Match
Reed, Rice: don't know enough about</p>

<p>-I have a thread just waiting for YOUR response.</p>

<p>Ya, I was figuring Stanford would be a better chance than MIT because it tends to look for more rounded people than MIT does.</p>