Chances of admission

Chance Me / Match Me!
1

<p>People here use the terms high/low reach, match, etc. I want to get people's opinions on what numerical % chance each term is associated with. </p>

<p>From what I understand, it goes something like this:</p>

<p>High reach: essentially a 1-in-a-100 shot, give or take
Reach (mid reach): 5-15% chance; it could happen, but it's kind of a crapshoot
Low reach: 20-30% chance; applicant has good stats, but due to selectivity of school, it's still unpredictable. </p>

<p>High match:35-40% chance; a solid shot of getting in
Match: Roughly 50-60%; a good fit for the applicant, but not a shoe-in
Low match: 65-80%+; not guaranteed, but an excellent chance</p>

<p>Safety: 100% or negligibly close; for all intents and purposes, guaranteed. </p>

<p>Is my understanding accurate? What do you guys think of it?</p>

2

<p>well… no one really knows the percentage chance… but sure :P</p>

3

<p>I mean you can’t really use percentages to correlate to chance-terms, since nothing is for sure. Remember the posts on cc are by random people, who don’t always have credible opinions, so their views on whether something is a match or reach can’t be converted into a correct percentage. But aside from that, I think you have the right idea about what each term (reach/match/etc) means.</p>