Chances of getting accepted into Duke

<p>I'm applying early decision to Duke in a couple weeks and I was wondering if someone knowledgeable about admissions stats could tell me if you think I'll get in. I'm also applying to Yale, Columbia, Dartmouth, Brown, Cornell, Johns Hopkins, Georgetown, and Notre Dame if I don't get in. Here are my stats:
Gender: female
Ethnicity: Hispanic
High School: public, Northern VA
SAT: 2240
ACT: 34
GPA: weighted-4.165
Class rank: none given but definitely top 10% in a graduating class of 520
Extracurriculars:
Women's rugby for two years and started a rugby league in my school in Laos (where I'm currently doing a semester abroad)
Church activities such as ushering every weekend, going on a retreat for a week every summer to rebuild houses for people living in poverty, volunteering at the homeless shelter once a month or so and stuff like that
National Honor Society, Spanish Honor Society, Math Honor Society
Red Cross and UNICEF club
Other volunteer stuff but not too important to include
Semester Abroad in Vientiane, Laos and also teaching English here (first half of senior year)
Essays: pretty good
Recommendations: a great one from my English teacher in Laos and probably ok ones from my teachers back at home, my counselor knows me pretty well so I think hers is good too
Thanks!!!!!!!!</p>

<p>Everyone is a reach other than Johns Hopkins. You just can’t pin all your hopes on “reaches-for-anyone”… get yourself a real safety!</p>

<p>Johns Hopkins: High match</p>

<p>Johns Hopkins: high match, low reach
All of the others are either reaches-to-high reaches
Your stats are impressive, but the rest of those schools are reaches for anyone</p>

<p>Mine please?: <a href=“http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/1567285-chance-transfer.html#post16492658[/url]”>http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/1567285-chance-transfer.html#post16492658&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

<p>I think you are in at Hopkins the rest are reaches…</p>

<p>please chance back
<a href=“http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/1567150-transfer-needs-chancing.html[/url]”>http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/1567150-transfer-needs-chancing.html&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

<p>Or you can bring JHU down to a match if you ED…</p>