Yes, stones3 you are correct. VCUArts’ acceptance is based on the applicants’ art portfolio. I gave an estimate based on the fact that VCUArts is “one of the top fine arts programs in the country,” which reflects its difficulty and selectivity, and on the fact that the OP hasn’t taken any art courses, which suggests that the OP’s portfolio won’t be as good. Don’t forget, Chance Me comments are always estimates based on the information OP provided, and no one can predict accurate results as they are subject to errors.
As for comparison between UVA and UW&M, UVA is harder to get in and it ranks higher (meaning closer to top 1) than the other.