Chances?

Hi, I am a rising senior, and I’m not sure which of the schools I’m applying to are reach, safety, match, or high reach.

I’m planning to apply to:
UCLA
UC Berkeley
USC
Cornell Dyson (school of business)
U Penn (maybe Wharton, but I’m not sure if I have a shot at that)
NYU Stern (school of business
Carnegie Mellon Tepper (school of business)
UC San Diego

I’m also thinking about applying to U Mich and U Chicago.
Do I need more safety schools?

GPA
I have a 3.997 unweighted GPA and a 4.4997 weighted GPA. I have only taken 3 APs so far (U.S. History, Chemistry, and Calc BC) as my school doesn’t offer many APs before junior year. I will be taking three more APs in senior year (Physics, Statistics, Gov).

SAT: 1570

SAT 2
Math 2: 800
History, Chemistry: Haven’t gotten the score yet

PSAT: 1510

Extra curricular

Debate team captain
Started free debate class at community center. Ran two eight week sessions so far.
Program lead at a business program focused on teaching business and marketing skills to other students.
Opinion editor at my school newspaper
Four years of school badminton (two years varsity)

Awards
Assorted awards for Lincoln Douglas and Public Forum debate (breaks/speaker awards at Stanford, ASU, James Logan, SCU, etc.), but I haven’t had much success at a national level. Qualified to silver toc in public forum.

You have no safety schools on that list.

“Do I need more safety schools?”

You need at least 1, and preferably 2. You have zero. Therefore yes, you need more.

Also, “safety” does not just mean that you will get in. It means that you will get in, you can afford it, and you are willing to go.

Have you run the NPC on each of the schools on your list, and if so can you and/or your parents afford the schools on your current list?

Agree with above posters. You have no safety!


(Eventhough you have an excellent academic)

For safeties I was thinking of just going with UCs like Davis or Irvine. Also would UC San Diego not be considered a safety? I’ve heard that Wharton and Dyson are extremely hard to get into, especially without an athletic scholarship, so do you think I have a realistic shot at either if I ED? And @DadTwoGirls my parents would be willing to pay the tuition for these schools.

None of the UC’s you listed are safeties even with competitive stats. Add UCSC and UCR.


Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 4.20 or above (2016):





UCB: 42%


UCLA: 54%


UCSD: 87%


UCSB: 85%


UCD: 91%


UCI: 94%


UCR/UCM: 98%

Take a look at Univ. of Indiana Bloomington. I’d also add WashU STL and Brown.