<p>So I caught up over the last couple of days on the discussion that have followed my original post - A lot of thoughtful discussion and good insights. I did want to contribute opinions on questions that have come up that actually weren’t in my original premise:. </p>
<p>1) If there are no so-called hurdle rates or cutoffs and admit chances continues to increase, sometimes significantly, along the continuum of test scores, does this mean these schools are misleading when they say they admit “holistically”? </p>
<p>Thankfully, Admissions is still a very human process. Putting myself in the shoes of one of these reps, I can imagine the challenge they face as they become human sorting hats a la Harry Potter. It can’t be easy. Passion and commitment matter, telling your story matters, connection matters.</p>
<p>I guess the only comment I would have on this would be to revert to the link up thread of the MIT rep. In the blog he states: “I wanted to share this with you because this case was one concrete example of just how little we care about the small differences in competitive test scores. A student with “the magic 1600” is not implicitly better to us than a student with “the spellbinding 1400.” </p>
<p>I believe he believes this. And I believe he consciously acts in accordance with this. But, if you look at the data, MIT applicants in the “almost magical 1500-1600” range have significantly better outcomes than applicants in the “not quite as spellbinding less than 1500” range. Applicants in the first group are admitted at two to three times the rate as all other applicants.</p>
<p>2) How much do scores matter compared to other factors? While higher scores do correlate, do they cause higher admit rates? </p>
<p>Very legitimate question and one only the schools know the answer to – and the answer clearly varies to some degree between schools. Pure guess/opinion – obviously kids with high test scores will likely have – great grades, lots of rigor, interests which manifest themselves in EC involvement, potentially good writing skills which are used to craft good essays. But to state unequivocally that high test scores perfectly correlate to these other factors seems overreaching. How likely is it a kid with a 1600 will write a better essay than a kid with a 1400? Maybe, maybe not. Better grades and rigor, likely, but not guaranteed.</p>
<p>One clue on causation that is in the available data – in addition to publishing data on admit rates relative to test scores, Princeton publishes data on admit rates by GPA, Admit rate for 2300-2400 SAT is 14.8%, next tier down (2100-2290) 7.7% - slightly better than half the chance, next tier down (1900-2090) is 5.2% - slightly better than a third the chance. Admit rate for 4.0 GPA is 9.9%, 3.9 GPA is 9.8%, 3.8 GPA is 6.8%. Relatively significant difference in SAT tiers, much smaller difference in GPA tiers. Does this prove greater causation? No, but I know where I would put my money.</p>
<p>3) Finally, should applicants retest? I think the broader question here is, so what? “Yup, I buy in that higher scores correlate to admit chances, but there’s nothing you can do about it. It is what it is.” </p>
<p>To some extent, of course, that’s true. It’s not like a kid can say, “I scored a 31 my first try. Oh, I need a 35 to have much better chances. OK, I’ll sign up again and crank out a 35”. Not likely, right. But, I think it does mean applicants should give careful consideration to their testing approach and that the reality of wherever they are at on test scores should be a significant input into their list of schools. Maybe that seems obvious, but based on some of what I see on CC, it’s not. </p>
<p>Scenario 1 - You scored a 31 cold with no or little prep and you have a genuine interest in some of these more selective schools. OK, put some prep time in and retake. OK, let’s say you now scored a 33. Do you think you can still do better? If so, are you willing to prep a little more? At the cost of what other activities? Do you think it will matter for the schools you are applying to? That was the exact scenario that played out in our house a couple of years ago. Middle son – 31 cold, a little prep on the Science section scored a 33. Was happy with that, knew where it left him in relation to the schools he was applying to and moved on with life. Happy Soph. at one of the 13 schools that I mentioned in the original post.</p>
<p>Scenario 2 – You scored a 31. You prep some more, retake, and score a 31 or a 30. Should you retake? Maybe, if you think you can still improve your score. Or maybe, if you are still interested in these schools, you know your best shot is to take extra time to ensure your app and your essays demonstrate your uniqueness, your passion, and what you personally can bring to (fill in the blank school). Or, maybe you need to look at your list of schools and make some adjustments. </p>
<p>Have a nice day!</p>