<p>So 2400 is right, but 8335 is not (they didn't defer anywhere near 1000 people from EA; a little less than 3000 applied EA and they took 1200; I'd guess they deferred maybe 500.</p>
<p>7335 + 500 = 7935. Let's say they admit 2400 from the RD round (including the EA deferees). That's only 30%. Is this right?</p>
<p>The number of deferred eventually accepted is lower percentage wise than the percent admitted RD. My guess is that the RD rate minus deferred will be in the mid thirty's, not too different from the projected 35% overall rate. (3650/10,400).</p>
<p>Interestingly enough...I expect this rise in college applications to go down starting with the HS class of 2009, peaking with the HS class of 2008, due to demographic trends. The American birthrate, particularly among the middle-class, skyrocketed between 1986 and 1992, peaking in 1989-1990 and then rapidly declining in the early 1990s.</p>
<p>I believe the rate of increase in absolute # of applicants will begin to trail off in 2009, but it will offset by the trend to apply to more colleges.</p>
<p>If you look at the Harvard numbers (and they are on the bleeding edge of these things), their absolute numbers improved only slightly - but their international apps went up. They seem to be doing more recruiting internationally.</p>
<p>As to idad: Probably...though the increase in actual numbers along with the increased number of schools most people apply to has created an overall surge. Starting with the college class of 2013, the decrease in acceptance rates will stabilize, and for some colleges it may even rise.</p>
<p>I believe ohio_mom is on to something. As the number of U.S. applicants declines, the international applicants will increase. I believe I read that Chicago's international applications was up 33% last year.</p>
<p>Again, that's quite possible. However, I still believe that it will be considerably easier for American students to apply for the class of 2020 as opposed to 2012, almost everywhere.</p>
<p>I agree with mosevios--apparently our generation is twice as large as the baby boomers, and more are going to college too. However, this surge will decline as boomers stop having children and our generation matures.</p>
<p>As for international applicants, their numbers may surge, but because their admissions aren't need-blind, their numbers will probably remain low.</p>
<p>Not TWICE as large as the baby boomers. Actually, about 10-20% smaller. The birthrate started rising again in 1976, and the boom started around 1982, accelerated in 1985 or 1986, peaked rapidly in 1988-1990, and started going down slightly in 1991 and fell out by 1993 and 1994.</p>
<p>The current situation is a combination of a demographic surge (particularly among those who can afford top colleges), the increasingly aggressive nature of college catering and preparation from a young age to go to an outstanding college, grade inflation, and the trend for applying to more and more schools. The second one also seems to be a Generation Y trait in particular.</p>
<p>And I thought I was unique...</p>