<p>Can anybody confirm that the number of graduating seniors will be going down this year, and that last year was the peak year? I know there won´t be much of a difference but I´m wondering if we will start seeing a slight ease in the number of applications to each school and if that´s a trend that will continue for years. Sorry, if this has been discussed in other threads, in which case maybe you could point me to them. Thanks.</p>
<p>Colleges, knowing this was coming, have aggressively stepped up international recruiting. Numbers of applicants will probably not go down at top schools but the not so top ones are sure to feel it. You can tell which ones those are by the upscale dorms, fancy gyms and Sushi bars they’ve been putting in!</p>
<p>Thanks, hmom, but do you think the percentage of international admits will actually rise to make up more than the current 10-12 percent in selective schools? Or, even though those applications go up (and selectivity status is maintained), the percentage of foreign matriculants will be kept the same. In this case competition among u.s kids would actually decline.</p>
<p>I was also wondering about actual numbers for the graduating classes in recent years and the projected ones–if anybody knows where to find those stats.</p>
<p>I wonder about int’l recruiting. </p>
<p>Our child’s HS is outside the US. It’s pretty international, all the parents can do full pay, and the graduates go to top schools all over the place (Europe, Asia, but about half to US). </p>
<p>So far it appears that recruitment will look the same as always from the top US schools (but then they always came so maybe not noticeable?). But clearly strong new efforts by UK, HK, and Wales.</p>
<p>The National Center for Education Statistics, Projections of Education Statistics to 2018, 37th Edition, dated September 2009, shows the number of high school graduates projected to decline from 3,329,180 in fiscal 2009 to 3,294,590 in fiscal 2010 (Table 24). First time freshman enrollments in degree granting institutions, however, is projected to increase throughout the forecast period (Table 10). Note that the most recent year of actual data is from the fall of 2007.
<a href=“http://nces.ed.gov/pubs2009/2009062_1.pdf[/url]”>http://nces.ed.gov/pubs2009/2009062_1.pdf</a></p>
<p>Other factors such as the economy may play a larger part in which schools have a greater number of applicants.</p>
<p>I also wonder about statistics for the class of 2010–it seems to be a smart class, judging from the huge increase in NMSF’s at our school and a number of others in the area. Some graduating classes are more outstanding than others, I have noticed.</p>
<p>The number of US students is not dropping fast enough to make a big difference for internationals yet, but it eventually will. It makes sense, the world is quickly becoming more global in every way. We’ll see top colleges reflect that.</p>
<p>The bottom line for the top colleges is that all of their initiatives–diversity of every sort–low income, middle class, geographic–will keep the number interested going up.</p>
<p>The economic down turn (how’s that for sugar coating a manmade calamity?) has hurt endowments. Combine that with the hit most of us took in home value, 401K and regular savings and it will have an impact - some colleges more than others. (The USNA is reporting that theyre 3000 applicants ahead of this time last year.) Many schools are trying to ease the pain but theres only so much they can do. </p>
<p>Whenever the economy sours Id expect to see an increase in technical degrees with a corresponding decrease in humanities. So those schools might actually see more kids even though the total might be level.</p>
<p>Thanks, Analyst. Those were exactly the stats I was looking for. It seems from them that the composition of the graduating classes will be shifting in the next few years, but not so much the numbers. I was just wondering if 10 years from now the overall competitiveness of college admissions will ease. It seems not.</p>