Early Applications Growth/Decline, class of 2017

Applying to College
21

<p>2 significant digits.</p>

<p>Note- I’ve pulled all the stats from the NYT blog plus a few from my posts above (MIT, Williams, Miami U, UVa) that blog did not have.</p>

<p>Boston U 41%
Case West. 34%
Bates 30%
Babson (ED) 29%
Elon (ED) 22%
Vanderbilt 21%
Colgate 20%
Chicago 20%
Wake Forest 19%
Virginia 19%
Clark 18%
Babson (EA) 17%
Cal Tech 17%
Cornell 16%
Harvard 15%
Fordham 14%
Rochester 13%
Princeton 11%
Miami U 11%
Emory 10%
Wesleyan 10%
Lewis&Clark 9.8%
SUNY Bing. 9.6%
MIT 9%
Middlebury 8.9%
Northwestern 8.2%
Barnard 6.6%
Penn 5.6%
Yale 4.6%
Claremont McK 4.2%
Stanford 3.9%
Frostburg 3.5%
New York U 3.5%
Williams 3.2%
Brown 3.1%
George Wash 2.2%
Dickinson (EA) 2.1%
Va Tech 2%
Columbia 1.3%
Pomona 0.68%
Johns Hopk 0.35%
Georgetown 0.31%
Will&Mary 0.26%
St Lawrence -1.3%
Elon (EA) -1.9%
Dickinson (ED) -3.2%
Smith -3.4%
Duke -3.8%
Cooper Union -3.9%
Scripps -4.0%
Coll of NJ -10%
Dartmouth -13%</p>

22

<p>Some observations…</p>

<ul>
<li><p>a number of those I originally reported are at variance with the NYT blog. Most significantly: Brown (+1%, now +3%), JHU (+1.5%, now +0.35%), Duke (-2.6%, now -3.8%), and Northwestern (+7%, now +8.2%). Most are the same or pretty close.</p></li>
<li><p>the stats for many, including Vanderbilt, Emory, Middlebury, Pomona, and CMC (among others), are for ED1 only. This info is hard to come by otherwise, as CDS’ do not segregate ED1 from the entire ED (ED1+ED2) pool.</p></li>
<li><p>of the elites, Dartmouth is the clear laggard. Speculation for cause includes the negative Rolling Stone article from this past year.</p></li>
<li><p>mixed trends for the few that have both ED and EA</p></li>
</ul>

23

<p>Babson (EA) 17%
Babson (ED) 29%
Barnard 6.6%
Bates 30%
Boston U 41%
Brown 3.1%
Cal Tech 17%
Case West. 34%
Chicago 20%
Claremont McK 4.2%
Clark 18%
Colgate 20%
Coll of NJ -10%
Columbia 1.3%
Cooper Union -3.9%
Cornell 16%
Dartmouth -13%
Dickinson (EA) 2.1%
Dickinson (ED) -3.2%
Duke -3.8%
Elon (EA) -1.9%
Elon (ED) 22%
Emory 10%
Fordham 14%
Frostburg 3.5%
George Wash 2.2%
Georgetown 0.31%
Harvard 15%
Johns Hopk 0.35%
Lewis&Clark 9.8%
Miami U 11%
Middlebury 8.9%
MIT 9%
New York U 3.5%
Northwestern 8.2%
Penn 5.6%
Pomona 0.68%
Princeton 11%
Rochester 13%
Scripps -4.0%
Smith -3.4%
St Lawrence -1.3%
Stanford 3.9%
SUNY Bing. 9.6%
Va Tech 2%
Vanderbilt 21%
Virginia 19%
Wake Forest 19%
Wesleyan 10%
Will&Mary 0.26%
Williams 3.2%
Yale 4.6%</p>

24

<p>I calculated a “net” number for the 3 schools having both EA & ED: Babson, Dickinson, & Elon. Combining their # of EA & ED applicants (as calculated from the NYT blog info):</p>

<p>Babson net +19%
Dickinson net +1.6%
Elon net -0.45%</p>

<p>The much larger EA numbers for each school drive the combination. [In the blog, also note the huge ED acceptance rate for Elon! Almost 100% of those applied were accepted.]</p>

25

<p>Bowdoin ED I applications up slightly:</p>

<p>[Record</a> 599 ED I applications in for Class of 2017 — The Bowdoin Orient](<a href=“http://bowdoinorient.com/article/7754]Record”>http://bowdoinorient.com/article/7754)</p>

26

<p>Thanks arcadia…therefore, </p>

<p>Bowdoin + 0.84%</p>

27

<p>Bowdoin added</p>

<p>Boston U 41%
Case West. 34%
Bates 30%
Babson (ED) 29%
Elon (ED) 22%
Vanderbilt 21%
Colgate 20%
Chicago 20%
Wake Forest 19%
Virginia 19%
Clark 18%
Babson (EA) 17%
Cal Tech 17%
Cornell 16%
Harvard 15%
Fordham 14%
Rochester 13%
Princeton 11%
Miami U 11%
Emory 10%
Wesleyan 10%
Lewis&Clark 9.8%
SUNY Bing. 9.6%
MIT 9%
Middlebury 8.9%
Northwestern 8.2%
Barnard 6.6%
Penn 5.6%
Yale 4.6%
Claremont McK 4.2%
Stanford 3.9%
Frostburg 3.5%
New York U 3.5%
Williams 3.2%
Brown 3.1%
George Wash 2.2%
Dickinson (EA) 2.1%
Va Tech 2%
Columbia 1.3%
Bowdoin 0.84%
Pomona 0.68%
Johns Hopk 0.35%
Georgetown 0.31%
Will&Mary 0.26%
St Lawrence -1.3%
Elon (EA) -1.9%
Dickinson (ED) -3.2%
Smith -3.4%
Duke -3.8%
Cooper Union -3.9%
Scripps -4.0%
Coll of NJ -10%
Dartmouth -13%</p>

28

<p>Georgia Tech +6% [Early</a> Action Admission Decisions Drop Saturday | USA Education News](<a href=“http://www.usaeducationnews.com/2012/12/24/early-action-admission-decisions-drop-saturday/]Early”>http://www.usaeducationnews.com/2012/12/24/early-action-admission-decisions-drop-saturday/)</p>

<p>Boston U 41%
Case West. 34%
Bates 30%
Babson (ED) 29%
Elon (ED) 22%
Vanderbilt 21%
Colgate 20%
Chicago 20%
Wake Forest 19%
Virginia 19%
Clark 18%
Babson (EA) 17%
Cal Tech 17%
Cornell 16%
Harvard 15%
Fordham 14%
Rochester 13%
Princeton 11%
Miami U 11%
Emory 10%
Wesleyan 10%
Lewis&Clark 9.8%
SUNY Bing. 9.6%
MIT 9%
Middlebury 8.9%
Northwestern 8.2%
Barnard 6.6%
Georgia Tech 6%
Penn 5.6%
Yale 4.6%
Claremont McK 4.2%
Stanford 3.9%
Frostburg 3.5%
New York U 3.5%
Williams 3.2%
Brown 3.1%
George Wash 2.2%
Dickinson (EA) 2.1%
Va Tech 2%
Columbia 1.3%
Bowdoin 0.84%
Pomona 0.68%
Johns Hopk 0.35%
Georgetown 0.31%
Will&Mary 0.26%
St Lawrence -1.3%
Elon (EA) -1.9%
Dickinson (ED) -3.2%
Smith -3.4%
Duke -3.8%
Cooper Union -3.9%
Scripps -4.0%
Coll of NJ -10%
Dartmouth -13%</p>

29

<p>A bit of apples and oranges here, but nevertheless interesting, to me at least.</p>

<p>I ‘normalized’ the ED applications by anticipated size of incoming class per school. Thought this somehow gets at an early-commitment desirability factor. I only included ED, as they are locked into attending (vs EA), but note that some schools have both ED1 & ED2, and this only includes the ED1 and ED. For the few schools that didn’t have an incoming class size noted on the NYT spreadsheet (Williams & Bowdoin come to mind), I estimated it based upon their latest CDS section C data.</p>

<p>COLLEGE…ED(1) Apps/Incoming Class Size
Cooper Union 3.16
Columbia 2.23
Brown 2.01
U Penn 1.99
Duke 1.49
Dartmouth 1.41
Cornell 1.32
Northwestern 1.31
Vanderbilt 1.28
Bowdoin 1.24
Johns Hopkins 1.12
Williams 1.07
Claremont McKenna 1.07
Barnard 1.04
Middlebury 1.00
Bates 0.82
William & Mary 0.80
Wesleyan 0.75
Pomona 0.75
Wake Forest 0.74
Emory 0.71
Babson 0.71
George Washington 0.65
Colgate 0.64
New York U 0.61
U Rochester 0.48
Dickinson 0.46
Boston U 0.40
Scripps 0.38
Smith 0.35
Elon 0.35
College of New Jersey 0.34
Frostburg State 0.27
St. Lawrence 0.25</p>

<p>Cooper Union makes sense, as I believe they are full ride. Next, the ED Ivies, with Columbia leading the way, Brown & Penn one rung down, with Cornell & Dartmouth next, Duke thrown in the midst. Interesting to me that Bowdoin is the clear LAC leader here, & CMC has a higher ratio than Pomona (more distinctive group of applicants?)</p>

30

<p>Interesting analysis Papa. Thanks for posting.</p>

31

<p>you are welcome behappy7</p>

<p>Same metric as post 29 above (early apps/incoming class size), but just for the 4 Single Choice EA schools:</p>

<p>Stanford 3.46
Yale 3.35
Princeton 2.95
Harvard 2.92</p>

<p>Finally, a list with Harvard at the bottom!</p>

<p>Note that many other non-SC EA schools show much higher ratios, probably because applicants are free to apply to numerous schools early.</p>

32

<p>apples & oranges again, combining ED & EA (and ED1 only for those with ED1 & ED2)…but what the heck…</p>

<p>note: “<em>” means last year’s accept rate; “</em>*” provides the class of '17 source if other than the NYT table (<a href=“Early Admissions Statistics 2013 - Interactive Feature - NYTimes.com”>Early Admissions Statistics 2013 - Interactive Feature - NYTimes.com; )</p>

<p>Sorted lowest to highest</p>

<p>MIT 10.0% ** <a href=“http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2012/early-action-admissions-1219.html[/url]”>http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2012/early-action-admissions-1219.html&lt;/a&gt;
Cooper Union 11.0% *<br>
Stanford 11.9%<br>
Georgetown 12.8%<br>
Chicago 13.4%<br>
Yale 14.4%<br>
Cal Tech 14.6%<br>
Princeton 18.3%<br>
Harvard 18.4%<br>
Brown 18.5%<br>
Columbia 20.4% *<br>
Penn 24.9% ** [The</a> Daily Pennsylvanian :: Early decision admission rates drop by less than 1 percent](<a href=“http://www.thedp.com/article/2012/12/early-decision-admission-rates-drop-by-less-than-one-percent]The”>Early decision admission rates drop by less than 1 percent | The Daily Pennsylvanian)<br>
Pomona 26.5%<br>
Vanderbilt 26.9%<br>
Virginia 27.1% *<br>
Bowdoin 29.0% *<br>
Dartmouth 29.5%<br>
Duke 29.7%<br>
Babson (EA) 32.8%<br>
Cornell 32.8%<br>
Northwestern 33.2%<br>
Rochester 36.0%<br>
Johns Hopk 36.6%<br>
Claremont McK 38.6%<br>
George Wash 40.5%<br>
Middlebury 41.8%<br>
Williams 42.5%<br>
Barnard 42.6%<br>
Wake Forest 43.0% *<br>
Babson (ED) 43.4%<br>
Wesleyan 44.0% *<br>
Boston U 46.0% *<br>
Frostburg 46.3%<br>
Bates 46.6%<br>
Fordham 47.0%<br>
Will&Mary 47.1%<br>
Emory 49.5% *<br>
Elon (EA) 51.3%<br>
Colgate 51.5% *<br>
Va Tech 52% (rough estimate)<br>
Smith 56.0%<br>
SUNY Bing. 60.0% *<br>
Scripps 62.5%<br>
Coll of NJ 63.0% *<br>
Case West. 65.0% *<br>
Dickinson (ED) 76.0% *<br>
Lewis&Clark 76.2%<br>
Clark 80.2%<br>
Elon (ED) 99.4%<br>
Dickinson (EA) NA<br>
Miami U NA<br>
New York U NA<br>
St Lawrence NA</p>

33

<p>Cornell’s ED admit rate this year fell to 29.5% [from 12/21 Cornell Daily Sun article].</p>

34

<p>thanks for the updated info behappy7</p>

<p>Revised sort of early acceptance rates, Cornell revised and also Georgia Tech added (forgot it before)</p>

<ul>
<li>= last year’s rate (couldn’t find a source for this year’s rate)
** = this year’s rate from a source other than the NYT table</li>
</ul>

<p>MIT 10.0% ** <a href=“http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2012/early-action-admissions-1219.html[/url]”>http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2012/early-action-admissions-1219.html&lt;/a&gt;
Cooper Union 11.0% *<br>
Stanford 11.9%<br>
Georgetown 12.8%<br>
Chicago 13.4%<br>
Yale 14.4%<br>
Cal Tech 14.6%<br>
Princeton 18.3%<br>
Harvard 18.4%<br>
Brown 18.5%<br>
Columbia 20.4% *<br>
Penn 24.9% ** [The</a> Daily Pennsylvanian :: Early decision admission rates drop by less than 1 percent](<a href=“http://www.thedp.com/article/2012/12/early-decision-admission-rates-drop-by-less-than-one-percent]The”>Early decision admission rates drop by less than 1 percent | The Daily Pennsylvanian)<br>
Pomona 26.5%<br>
Vanderbilt 26.9%<br>
Virginia 27.1% *<br>
Bowdoin 29.0% *<br>
Cornell 29.5% ** [Students</a> Accepted Early to Cornell Express Elation, Relief | The Cornell Daily Sun](<a href=“http://cornellsun.com/section/news/content/2012/12/21/students-accepted-early-cornell-express-elation-relief]Students”>http://cornellsun.com/section/news/content/2012/12/21/students-accepted-early-cornell-express-elation-relief)<br>
Dartmouth 29.5%<br>
Duke 29.7%<br>
Babson (EA) 32.8%<br>
Northwestern 33.2%<br>
Rochester 36.0%<br>
Johns Hopk 36.6%<br>
Claremont McK 38.6%<br>
George Wash 40.5%<br>
Middlebury 41.8%<br>
Williams 42.5%<br>
Barnard 42.6%<br>
Wake Forest 43.0% *<br>
Babson (ED) 43.4%<br>
Wesleyan 44.0% *<br>
Boston U 46.0% *<br>
Frostburg 46.3%<br>
Bates 46.6%<br>
Fordham 47.0%<br>
Will&Mary 47.1%<br>
Emory 49.5% *<br>
Elon (EA) 51.3%<br>
Colgate 51.5% *<br>
Va Tech 52% (rough estimate)<br>
Georgia Tech 55% ** [Early</a> Action Admission Decisions Drop Saturday | USA Education News](<a href=“http://www.usaeducationnews.com/2012/12/24/early-action-admission-decisions-drop-saturday/]Early”>http://www.usaeducationnews.com/2012/12/24/early-action-admission-decisions-drop-saturday/)<br>
Smith 56.0%<br>
SUNY Bing. 60.0% *<br>
Scripps 62.5%<br>
Coll of NJ 63.0% *<br>
Case West. 65.0% *<br>
Dickinson (ED) 76.0% *<br>
Lewis&Clark 76.2%<br>
Clark 80.2%<br>
Elon (ED) 99.4%<br>
Dickinson (EA) NA<br>
Miami U NA<br>
New York U NA<br>
St Lawrence NA</p>

35

<p>Just posted…</p>

<p>UVM +9% (increase in early apps over last year) [University</a> Communications : University of Vermont](<a href=“http://www.uvm.edu/~uvmpr/?Page=news&storyID=15054&category=ucommtop]University”>UVM Receives Record Number of Early Applications)</p>

<p>Also, corroboration of NYT’s reported Georgetown early admit rate of 13%:
[Early</a> Admissions Rate Declines to Record 13% - The Hoya](<a href=“http://www.thehoya.com/early-admissions-rate-declines-to-record-13-1.2969583]Early”>http://www.thehoya.com/early-admissions-rate-declines-to-record-13-1.2969583)</p>

36

<p>Notre Dame +10% [Notre</a> Dame sees increases in applications, fundraising with Irish on top | ABC57 | South Bend IN News, Weather and Sports | Top Stories](<a href=“http://www.abc57.com/home/top-stories/Notre-Dame-sees-increases-in-applications-fundraising-with-Football-teams-success-185623222.html]Notre”>http://www.abc57.com/home/top-stories/Notre-Dame-sees-increases-in-applications-fundraising-with-Football-teams-success-185623222.html)</p>

<p>Boston U 41%
Case West. 34%
Bates 30%
Babson (ED) 29%
Elon (ED) 22%
Vanderbilt 21%
Colgate 20%
Chicago 20%
Wake Forest 19%
Virginia 19%
Clark 18%
Babson (EA) 17%
Cal Tech 17%
Cornell 16%
Harvard 15%
Fordham 14%
Rochester 13%
Princeton 11%
Miami U 11%
Emory 10%
Notre Dame 10%
Wesleyan 10%
Lewis&Clark 9.8%
SUNY Bing. 9.6%
MIT 9%
UVM 9%
Middlebury 8.9%
Northwestern 8.2%
Barnard 6.6%
Georgia Tech 6%
Penn 5.6%
Yale 4.6%
Claremont McK 4.2%
Stanford 3.9%
Frostburg 3.5%
New York U 3.5%
Williams 3.2%
Brown 3.1%
George Wash 2.2%
Dickinson (EA) 2.1%
Va Tech 2%
Columbia 1.3%
Bowdoin 0.84%
Pomona 0.68%
Johns Hopk 0.35%
Georgetown 0.31%
Will&Mary 0.26%
St Lawrence -1.3%
Elon (EA) -1.9%
Dickinson (ED) -3.2%
Smith -3.4%
Duke -3.8%
Cooper Union -3.9%
Scripps -4.0%
Coll of NJ -10%
Dartmouth -13%</p>

37

<p>W&L ED1 apps +4.7%
[W&L</a> Sees Continued Increase in Early Decision Applicants :: News :: Washington and Lee University](<a href=“http://news.blogs.wlu.edu/2013/01/07/wl-sees-continued-increase-in-early-decision-applicants/]W&L”>http://news.blogs.wlu.edu/2013/01/07/wl-sees-continued-increase-in-early-decision-applicants/)</p>

<p>Boston U 41%
Case West. 34%
Bates 30%
Babson (ED) 29%
Elon (ED) 22%
Vanderbilt 21%
Colgate 20%
Chicago 20%
Wake Forest 19%
Virginia 19%
Clark 18%
Babson (EA) 17%
Cal Tech 17%
Cornell 16%
Harvard 15%
Fordham 14%
Rochester 13%
Princeton 11%
Miami U 11%
Emory 10%
Notre Dame 10%
Wesleyan 10%
Lewis&Clark 9.8%
SUNY Bing. 9.6%
MIT 9%
UVM 9%
Middlebury 8.9%
Northwestern 8.2%
Barnard 6.6%
Georgia Tech 6%
Penn 5.6%
W&L 4.7%
Yale 4.6%
Claremont McK 4.2%
Stanford 3.9%
Frostburg 3.5%
New York U 3.5%
Williams 3.2%
Brown 3.1%
George Wash 2.2%
Dickinson (EA) 2.1%
Va Tech 2%
Columbia 1.3%
Bowdoin 0.84%
Pomona 0.68%
Johns Hopk 0.35%
Georgetown 0.31%
Will&Mary 0.26%
St Lawrence -1.3%
Elon (EA) -1.9%
Dickinson (ED) -3.2%
Smith -3.4%
Duke -3.8%
Cooper Union -3.9%
Scripps -4.0%
Coll of NJ -10%
Dartmouth -13%</p>

38

<p>getting into the total apps reporting season now…</p>

<p>this Dartmouth article is interesting…total apps down 3%
[TheDartmouth.com:</a> Applications decline by three percent from last year](<a href=“http://thedartmouth.com/2013/01/10/news/admission]TheDartmouth.com:”>http://thedartmouth.com/2013/01/10/news/admission) </p>

<p>Duke has a slight increase in total apps, +0.4%
<a href=“http://m.dukechronicle.com/article/duke-fills-more-spots-early-decision-applicants#/article/duke-fills-more-spots-early-decision-applicants[/url]”>http://m.dukechronicle.com/article/duke-fills-more-spots-early-decision-applicants#/article/duke-fills-more-spots-early-decision-applicants&lt;/a&gt;
Discussion on Duke and peer schools increasing %age of their incoming class in ED.</p>

<p>And in the UK, apps are generally down (so far) but Cambridge apps are up slightly:
[Cambridge</a> applications rise despite national decline | Varsity Online](<a href=“http://www.varsity.co.uk/news/5391]Cambridge”>Cambridge applications rise despite national decline | Varsity)</p>

39

<p>Thanks for doing this, Papa Chicken, keep em coming!</p>

40

<p>Any more information on regular decision application increases? I haven’t been able to find anything for my top schools Tufts, Cornell, and CMU, and so I was wondering if anyone else had seen numbers for any of these schools, or others.</p>