ED Chances?

<p>Unweighted GPA: 4
Weighted GPA: 4.512
Class Rank: 3 of 400
ACT: 33 composite (34 superscore), 36 math, 35 english, 11 writing, 31 reading, 34 science
EC's: Debate team, robotics team, science club, and the world peace club (just for fun).
Awards: AP Scholar with honor, Renssalaer Polytechnic Institute medalist, pretty much always math student of the month, plus 99th percentile on a national German exam twice in a row.
My essay is decent and I'm pretty sure it'll be ~60th percentile.
I haven't gotten rec letters yet, but they'll be OK.
My classes are the hardest possible (6 APs this year, 3 in science, 1 in math).</p>

<p>So, do I have a 90%+ chance of getting in ED, or should I aim lower?</p>

<p>All 5s on my APs so far: Physics C, stat, world history, comparative politics, and an 800 in math II. </p>