@Otemachi Also, beware of GW, as congressional district can certainly play a role in selection. You may want to stick to highlighting the Rhodes (which it SHOULD do well at as it is a D-1 school. Rhodes often likes students who are excellent academically and athletically. To see WUSTL and Emory do so well is honestly surprising). And definitely do not go by 3 year cycles for it as they fluctuate.
Fulbright: Do not use percentages because they fluctuate with the amount of applicants. If you use overall number, VU is about the same in any given year. For example, last 3 cycles. I also weigh the amount of applicants because usually the number of applicants gives some indication of ambition. For example, most medium sized top tier schools give far more than consistently in the 50s at least (no I don’t count Emory as one, last year was fluke"ish" I think), so even though Duke comparatively flopped in 2016 (only 12, which is off of there last cycles),in the last two cycles they had at least 60 applicants
2016-2017:
VU 13/41 (strong)
Emory 11/52 (strong)
WUSTL 4/26 (really? Come on. At least get more folks interested)
Rice 8/23(Rice is smaller and STEM leaning even more so than the 2 ahead of it so I will cut it slack)
2015-2016
VU 7/32 (?? By this time, students should be all over this)
Emory 5/43
WUSTL 9/41 (a big improvement!)
Rice
5/19 (k, I guess that is okay for them)
2014-2015
Vanderbilt 4/41 (okay y’all flopped, but at least lots of folks were interested)
Emory 12/36 (meh…good return, but wish more folks were interested).
Rice 7/32 (quite the improvement)
WUSTL 6/49 (not the best return, but the amount of interest was great).
Regardless, as proud as I am of my school and you are of yours. You should be asking for more.
Right now, it looks like, among these 4: Emory leads in Fulbrights over the last decade or more if you total, but none have garnered interest or returns seen at the other top level schools.
VU leads in Churchills.
WUSTL leads in Rhodes (weird, but both it and Emory do have unusually strong D-3 programs I guess)
I would expect Rice and WUSTL to be more consistent with GWs but don’t know for sure (they both invest inordinate amounts in engineering. I would expect schools with decent engineering schools to produce lots of NSF graduate research grant awardees and GW scholars as those have an obvious bias against say pure pre-healths…maybe MDPhD for GW, but not pre-MD. NSF, you are only allowed to emphasize basic science applications). But regardless I do not think any touch most of the even higher tier schools: For perspective. Take a look at the tops list made in 2006: https://www.math.ksu.edu/events/ksucomp/goldwater/goldwtr06.htm WUSTL fares well (it used to be an institute, no surprise) I guess consistently hitting 2-3/year. You only get 4 nominees so that is a strong record.
Keep in mind it started in 1986…
These places are doing fine, but need to work more to ensure that more of their students go big or go home. In WUSTL and VU’s case, they have basically HYPM scoring students now, so should be seeing much bigger returns. This is what measures the actual school. Rice is now pretty up there stats wise (but no VU, Chicago, or WUSTL yet), but you have my old school, Emory hangin’ with the big boys despite lack of an engineering school (a bigger engineering and physical sciences scene will naturally help with GW and Churchill, but Emory has had years where 2-3 would win some how even though most were pre-health) and having always had lower stats. If you have gotten those high stats and have yet to yield results similar to most top 10-12 schools at least from those cohorts (and even ones before. VU may have surpassed Duke in 2010 stats wise for example, so effects should have at least been as consistent as theirs by 2013 or so). Regardless, I see no evidence that it is better than the others. It has different strengths I guess, but competes in their league (again, if you look at all data for most categories, very similar), which…I think it should aim for more as should all of them.
What appears to have happened is that WUSTL was an academic leader in research so it got to have its UG prestige first among the 4 (AAU membership in 1923), then VU(1950), then Rice(1985), and then Emory(1995). It basically looks like they have essentially converged over time at the undergraduate level to be of similar caliber which essentially means that Rice and Emory pretty much “caught up” or basically closed the gap with the other two in terms of undergraduate academics (though I believe WUSTL still pretty much leads all 3 in research infrastructure. VU and Emory have converged, and Rice is ULTRA strong in certain areas). Differences in these accomplishments reflect different foci and the past to some extent. Again, in 2 of the cases, it is just an under performance (especially now) and not them being particularly “worse”. You should be aiming to make your list show that VU is relevant in comparison to other top 20s is what I am saying. VU has made its mark as have the others, but they have some serious work to do IMHO.